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We are saying so-long to our dry, continental airmass in coming days as the “muggies” return. We still think our weather today remains dry, with any showers this afternoon mainly south of Montgomery. Most communities will be close to 90 this afternoon with a strong summer sun.
HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Any afternoon showers or storms across this part of Alabama tomorrow should be widely scattered; the chance of any one front yard getting wet is about one in eight. The best chance of showers will be to the north, closer to a surface boundary, and to the south, where the moisture will be deeper.
For Saturday and Sunday, we will have scattered showers and storms around, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours, with a high in the 87 to 90 degree range. The front to the north will fizzle out before pushing through here, meaning no cool, dry airmass this time.
Moist air stays in place next week, meaning a daily chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
We do note the 00Z GFS is back on the idea of some kind of tropical wave lifting from the western Gulf of Mexico up toward the Texas/Louisiana border by mid-week with enhanced rain in that region.
TROPICS GETTING ACTIVE: Watch the Weather Xtreme video for all of the graphics associated with the tropical systems… TD 2 has formed in the far eastern Atlantic; it should become tropical storm Bertha within the next 24 hours. All of the global models continue the idea of this one recurving over the open Atlantic before reaching the Caribbean.
Another decent tropical wave is in the far eastern Caribbean this morning; that one is moving to the west/northwest, but harsh upper winds across the Caribbean should eat this one up, and development is not expected.
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We are going on the “one a day” holiday schedule for the Weather Xtreme video… we will produce one each day today through Sunday… we get back to “two a days” Monday of next week. I hope you have a great Fourth of July weekend… I will be on duty tomorrow; Brian Peters will have the video updates Saturday and Sunday.
