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Anyone remember this one by Mungo Jerry?
“In the summertime when the weather’s high,
you can stretch right up and touch the sky,
when the weather’s fine,
you got women, you got women on your mind.”
No doubt we are in the Alabama summertime, and we have some classic summertime weather to discuss for the next two weeks, and probably beyond.
The primary storm track is firmly planted near the Canadian border, and an upper air ridge is draped across the Deep South. The strength of this ridge is the determining factor in the extent of the number of showers and storms we see during the peak of the afternoon heat.
Scattered afternoon storms will be in the forecast for the next seven days; looks like the best coverage of them could be on Thursday and Friday with a weak surface front just north of here, providing for some low level convergence and upward motion in the atmosphere.
Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 90s tomorrow, backing down a bit into the 88 to 92 degree range on Thursday and Friday.
The front to the north dissipates by Friday night, so we will roll with a routine summer forecast into the weekend; hot muggy days with scattered afternoon showers and storms. Get used to that forecast; we will use it just about every day through the rest of July.
The good news is that we don’t see any serious sign of excessively hot weather (upper 90s or triple digits) through the next two weeks.
BERTHA: The tropical cyclone has weakened a bit; estimated sustained winds are down to 105 mph. All models are now on the recurving train, and it looks like Bertha will recurve east of Bermuda over the weekend, and the threat to the U.S. East Coast is very minimal. This one will mostly be a threat to ships at sea.
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