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Not much change in our airmass today… PW values near 2 inches, surface dewpoints in the 70 to 75 degree range. Very juicy indeed. Showers and storms are likely this afternoon; the best coverage will be determined by small scale boundaries left over from last night’s action.
Like recent days, the stronger storms will produce heavy rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning. Most of the storms will come from about 1:00 until 10:00 p.m.
THE WEEKEND: The old front just north of here dissipates tonight, leaving Alabama in a blanket of moist air tomorrow and Sunday. Showers could be a little more scattered tomorrow, but they should increase again late Sunday and Sunday night with another surface boundary approaching from the north.
NEXT WEEK: Yep… just as soon as I drink the GFS Kool-Aid concerning dry air next week, the 00z GFS looks wetter. Always the case. The 00Z run hints that Monday will remain rather moist; we have one day of drier air Tuesday, and the moist air comes right back on Wednesday. As usual, no change in our forecast until we peek at the 12Z package. Live by the models, die by the models. And, cold fronts just don’t blow through here in mid-July very often.
LONG RANGE: The latter half of July continues to look very routine; temperatures near average (low 90s) with an almost daily chance of scattered showers and storms during the afternoon. No sign of any tropical systems in the Gulf that might impact Alabama.
BERTHA: Not much change overnight; this category one hurricane will pass east of Bermuda over the weekend, and will recurve into the open Atlantic early next week while weakening due to the colder water of the North Atlantic.
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We are doing a site check on a new SKYCAM site this afternoon and I won’t have time to produce an afternoon Weather Xtreme video, but the great American weather legend J.B. Elliott will be here to update you on the Alabama thunderstorm situation. Enjoy the day!
