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Not much change in the weather here through the weekend; any afternoon showers will be very isolated; otherwise hot and hazy conditions continue with highs in the 90 to 90 degree range. We continue to believe we will see an increase in the number of afternoon showers and storms by the middle of next week with a weak front approaching from the north.
TROPICS: The system just off the Georgia coast sure looks good this morning with a CDO developing; I would not shocked it this thing becomes a tropical depression, or even a tropical storm within the next 24 hours. It will move northeast, near the coast or just offshore, during the next few days with breezy and very wet conditions for the South Atlantic coast. All of the moisture stays east of Alabama.
One tropical wave is moving into Central America this morning with potential for heavy rain and mudslides.
The big feature is the wave in the south-central Caribbean. Once again, organization is increasing, and as it moves into a better environment we have to figure this will become a tropical storm. The 06Z model runs take this across the Yucatan, and toward the northern coast of Mexico or the southern tip of Texas. The 00Z GFDL is the outlier; it develops the system in a hurricane, and turns it northward toward the Central Gulf coast… and of course that is the one creating the big buzz. I don’t see the mechanism for the northward turn right now… I think the 06Z model blend is the best idea at this point.
Watch the Weather Xtreme video for all of the maps and graphics associated with tropical issues. It will be interesting to watch this one in coming days.
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This is the day for our big summer intern lunch… we are headed down to Jim’s Pit BBQ in Billingsley, and Peach Park in Clanton. I should be back in time to crank out an afternoon Weather Xtreme video this afternoon by 3:30… enjoy the day!
