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We will continue to forecast your classic summer mix through the weekend. Highs in the low to mid 90s, and the daily risk of a passing afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Both the GFS and the NAM suggest the best coverage of showers and storms will be tomorrow, thinning out a bit on Sunday. Looks like dewpoints will be in the low 70s with PW values around 2 inches, so storms will be capable of producing producing very heavy amounts of rain in a short period of time.
NEXT WEEK: The 00Z GFS is trending hotter and drier for next week… the key to the weather will be the position of the heat ridge. No doubt the center will remain west of Alabama, but it tries to nose in here at times. The other issue is the possibility of northwest flow storm areas moving in here at times, and there isn’t much way to forecast those far in advance.
For now we will continue to roll with the typical summer forecast for next week with highs in the mid 90s and the daily risk of an afternoon storm. We will watch model trends and make adjustments over the weekend as needed as we roll through the “dog days of summer”.
TROPICS: Now that Dolly is gone, the tropics look very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.
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I will be live at Alabama Adventure this afternoon at 5:00 and 6:00… I won’t be able to produce an afternoon Weather Xtreme video, but I will write a brief discussion by 3:30. Have a great Friday!
