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Sure looks like a good chance of some beneficial rain for Alabama through Friday. A moisture laden airmass (surface dewponts greater that 70, PW values over 2.0″) will remain parked over the state, and with some upper support (the system formerly known as Dolly) we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms through Friday. While most of the showers and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours, a late night or morning shower can’t be ruled out.
And, as the rain increases, the heat will continue to decrease. Highs will drop into the 88 to 92 degree range for most communities.
WEEKEND PREVIEW: Drier and hotter weather headlines our weekend forecast for North Alabama… most of the showers and storms should be south of Montgomery, and afternoon highs will rise into the mid 90s.
NEXT WEEK: I sure don’t like what the GFS is spitting out for Monday and Tuesday… a 5940 meter 500 mb heat bubble spreading into Alabama. That would suggest a high near 100 degrees on those days. We can be thankful for the rain we expect over the next three days; this will add to our good soil moisture and hopefully keep the the heat from running away from us. We will go for upper 90s for now, and make adjustments as needed. And, along with the heat comes dry conditions with the associated warm air aloft. The idea of a tropical low moving north into Alabama is pretty much off the table for now.
TROPICS: What a good looking wave just off the coast of Africa; that thing looks like a tropical depression now. Of course, this is a long, long way out there, but we will keep an eye on it.
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I will crank out the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon…. enjoy the day!
