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Okay, who opened the door on winter??? Temperatures across Central and North Alabama this morning are in the 40s with a good north to northwest wind helping to make those temperatures feel a bit nippier. And the air is also much drier with dew points also in the 40s.
The upper trough will gradually continue to move east keeping us under a chilly northwesterly flow for the next couple of days as the surface high migrates from it’s position on the South Dakota/Nebraska line to a center over Livingston in Sumter County, Alabama, on Monday morning. That should make Monday morning our coldest morning so far this Fall with temperatures well down into the 30s. Frost will occur and be rather widespread.
Now on Sunday morning I expect the wind to remain in the 3 to 5 mph range which should suppress frost formation. The exception, of course, will be any sheltered locations such as valleys where the wind could die off around sunrise and allow some patchy frost to form. But as the wind goes calm on Sunday night and Monday morning, we should see fairly widespread frost formation for most of Central and North Alabama. Maybe it will kill the widespread ragweed, too.
Just a note that temperatures in the 35 to 38 range Monday morning will be a good 15 degrees below average values for this time of year.
A warming trend begins on Monday afternoon and should continue through the week. Another storm system on Thursday moving through the Great Lakes will drag another cold front – but not as cold as this air – through the Southeast paving the way for what looks like some great Fall days next weekend.
Long range GFS suggests a wet end to the month with yet another strong short wave/closed low and perhaps a surface low in the Gulf to tap that good moisture.
Nothing happening in the tropical Atlantic, but extremely dangerous Category 4 Hurricane Rick continued along the southern coast of Mexico in the Pacific.
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STORM ALERT XTREME: Do you want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? The annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 14 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. I will be conducting a full storm spotter training session as I used to do while working for the National Weather Service. I encourage anyone interested in storm spotting to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. Storm Alert Xtreme begins at 9:30 am and will end by 3:30 pm. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat since there was a packed house last year.
On the road today as I head to Memphis for a Weather Service reunion. It is going to be a gathering of weather folks who worked at the NWS office in Memphis over the years, and latest head count showed about 40 current and former meteorologists who worked there will be getting together to swap lies, er, stories about what we did and what we’ve done! I hope you enjoy the day and Godspeed.
-Brian-
For your meteorological consulting needs, Coleman and Peters, LLC, can provide you with accurate, detailed information on past storms, lightning, flooding, and wind damage. Whether it is an insurance claim needing validation or a court case where weather was a factor, we can furnish you with information you need. Please call us at (205) 568-4401.
