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A cold front passed through North-Central Alabama during the pre-dawn hours in mostly dry fashion, and gusty north winds will usher in the coolest air so far this season. Despite maximum sunshine, temperatures will go nowhere today. At 5:00… Birmingham was reporting 55 degrees with a north wind averaging 16 mph, gusting to 31. We will probably see temperatures fall a bit… down toward 50, then rise back through the 50s during the day. Most places around here will fail to reach 60 this afternoon.
FREEZING MORNING TEMPERATURES: Our highlight this package will be the freeze potential for both tomorrow and Thursday morning. We are still talking lows in the 25 to 35 degree range both mornings… gut feeling here says Thursday will be the coldest morning with the high right on top of us, meaning no wind and perfect conditions for radiational cooling. Tomorrow and Thursday will feature sunshine in full supply with a high in the mid to upper 50s tomorrow, and low to mid 60s on Thursday.
We should note that Friday morning will be pretty cold as well, with a freeze possible for the colder valleys, and lows in the 30s elsewhere.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: More delightful weather, with sunny comfortable days and clear, chilly nights. The 00Z GFS is coming in a little cooler, with highs in the 60s and lows well down in the 40s, with 30s for the colder valleys. Yet another great football weekend.
NEXT WEEK: Confidence is high in a strong upper trough rolling through here early next week with our next chance of rain, but confidence is low in the details. The latest run of the GFS is a little slower, and backs off on the idea of strong to severe storms. We will have a much better grasp on the system by the end of the week.
LONG RANGE: The 00Z GFS shows a very high amplitude pattern at the end of the period, around Thanksgiving… deep, cold trough in the west, and a warm, dry ridge across the Deep South. But, nothing but pure, big-time voodoo right now.
STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you his Saturday (November 10) at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here. And, remember, if you attend Storm Alert Xtreme, you get free admission into the Alabama International Auto Show!
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. This is a great way to find the latest weather-related news stories.
I am headed down U.S. 280 today to speak to the Sylacauga Rotary Club… then it is back into the office where I will have the afternoon Weather Xtreme video posted by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day and the cool breeze!
