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DRY THROUGH THANKSGIVING: A cool, dry airmass covers Alabama today. That means maximum sunshine and a high in the mid 50s along with a cool breeze. The weather stays dry through Thanksgiving Day, with the high near 60 tomorrow, followed by mid 60s on Thursday. We will have a freeze tomorrow morning; the average low will be around 30, with colder spots down in the 20s.
THANKSGIVING TRAVEL WEATHER: Tomorrow, according to many in the travel industry, is the biggest travel day of the year. If you are traveling to another Alabama community, you will have no problems at all as dry air continues to cover the Deep South. Quite frankly, most of the nation will have benign weather tomorrow. There could be some snow along the lake effect snow belt up north in places like Erie and Buffalo, but nothing out of the ordinary. Oddly enough, some of the most significant rain in the nation will in places where it doesn’t rain too often; Phoenix and Los Angeles will have some rain tomorrow, but it should not be enough to cause airport delay
NEXT RAIN: Some rain could move into Alabama late Thursday night, and we will continue to forecast periods of rain on Friday. The guys at HPC continue to show potential for over two inches of rain for this part of Alabama, but I still think amounts will be from one-half to one inch. The 06Z GFS hints the heaviest rain could very well fall over the southern half of the state, and it also hints our best chance of rain will come from around midnight Thursday night to early afternoon Friday. This offers decent hope that the rain will be over in time for the high school playoff games Friday night, but still no promise.
IRON BOWL: We see no need to change our forecast for Saturday’s big game at 2:30 in Tuscaloosa; a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures in the upper 50s at kickoff. Some rain could fall in Alabama Saturday, but that looks most likely south of U.S. 84, or south of a line from Monroeville to Evergreen to Dothan. However, this is a tricky setup and the forecast is not carved in stone at this point, so stay tuned.
SUNDAY: Moisture surges northward thanks to a strong upper trough to the west, and we will mention a good chance of rain statewide on Sunday. Colder air will follow the rain Monday; and some lingering light rain could fall Monday with a southwest flow aloft over the cooler air near the surface.
THE LAND OF VOODOO: Lots of conflicting model output; the 06Z GFS shows a more zonal flow across the nation into the first days of November, abandoning the split flow idea. I still think it is safe to say temperatures will remain below average, generally speaking, but beyond that hard to deal with weather specifics.
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We are going on a holiday schedule for the rest of the week, so just one Weather Xtreme video on a daily basis, but we will keep the blog updated with fresh information. If you are traveling, be safe!
