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Yeah, I know, we said most of Alabama would be dry yesterday, and showers and a few storms formed during the heat of the day in a weak convergence zone across this part of Alabama. That is what happens when you leave showers out of the forecast on a summer afternoon. I guess there is always some risk of a shower popping up somewhere in coming days, but the overall pattern looks pretty dry through the weekend.
Models are now in very good agreement that the deeper moisture with the tropical feature over the Florida peninsula will remain well east of Alabama, moving up the southern Atlantic coast. So, around here, looks like any afternoon showers will be few and far between through the weekend, with afternoon highs generally in the low 90s. You really have to get over to East Georgia or the Carolinas to get into the deeper tropical moisture.
NEXT WEEK: Still some hint of a weakening surface boundary approaching Alabama by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, which might bring an increased threat of afternoon showers and storms.
TROPICS: Big Bertha is weakening now, well northeast of Bermuda and moving into the open water of the North Atlantic. We have been talking about Bertha now for two weeks; it is the longest lived July tropical storm on record. The system is no threat to land.
Invest 94L in the eastern Caribbean is now looking pretty ragged; it is moving into an area of enhanced shear, and develop is not likely in the short term. If it survives, the models take it in the general direction of the Yucatan peninsula… possibly into the far Southwest Gulf of Mexico.
And, another disturbance remains in the Southwest Caribbean; development of this one isn’t especially likely due to the proximity to Central America.
And, a good looking wave has come off the coast of Africa. Watch the Weather Xtreme video for all of the satellite images and graphics.
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video by 3:30 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!
