**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today… scroll down and you can see this morning’s video, which is still valid**
No real change in our forecast thinking through the weekend… sunny days, clear chilly nights, and a gradual warming trend. Looks like a high in the upper 70s tomorrow, with low 80s on Sunday.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Near perfect weather for high school football tonight. Clear with little or no wind. About 63 at kick off and 55 at the final whistle. On Saturday, mostly clear dry weather for Alabama/Ole Miss at Oxford, Tulane/UAB in Birmingham and Auburn/Arkansas in Fayetteville. Expect about 73 for the 11:00 a.m. kick off at Ole Miss and near 80 later in the game. In Birmingham, the 6:00 p.m. kick off temperature should be about 73 dropping quickly into the 60s. In Fayetteville, the kick off is at 6:45 and about 74 degrees dropping to 63 at the final whistle.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: Still looks like we will have a chance at a few showers around here by late Tuesday, Tuesday night, or Wednesday of next week. The 12Z GFS introduces an interesting idea; it shows a tropical type low in the Gulf of Mexico early next week, with the system moving inland around Panama City Tuesday night. If this is correct, the main rain shield with the low will remain east of Alabama… we will watch developments over the weekend. I don’t think the tropical season is over by any means.
Unfortunately, the 12Z GFS is trending drier at the end of next week; a vigorous upper trough passes north of Alabama with just a trailing band of showers here. I still think there will be fairly significant chance of rain with that system due to the dynamics and good low level moisture return. Gut feeling says future model runs will be more aggressive with the chance of rain.
The model continues to show a very nice surge of chilly air moving in here in the October 20-22 time frame, which will bring the risk of some scattered light frost to the colder valleys of North Alabama.
STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you on Saturday, November 10 at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. This is a great way to find the latest weather-related news stories.
I sure enjoyed speaking at the Birmingham East Rotary Club today… nice to see the great Alabama weather legend, J.B. Elliott in attendance. Brian Peters is out of pocket this weekend, so there won’t be another Weather Xtreme video until Monday; I will have it posted bright and early by 7:00 a.m. Bill Murray will have the discussions here over the weekend. As always, thanks for reading, have a great weekend, and God Bless!
