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While a few showers might show up over the weekend, they should be few and far between as a relatively dry airmass sits over Alabama. The chance of any one high school football stadium getting wet tonight is only about one in eight, and the change of rain for any one spot over the weekend is even lower. The afternoon high will be close to 90 degrees through early next week.
NEXT WEEK: Things get interesting next week as the coldest air so far this young fall season (fall, as far as weather people go!) begins to push down into the U.S. from Canada. Looks like the first frost of the season is ahead for states like Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. The cold front will push southward, and bring an increase in showers and thunderstorms to Alabama by mid-week. The 00Z GFS has slowed the front down, and it now holds off the best chance of showers and storms until late Tuesday night and Wednesday. And, it hangs the front up around I-59 Wednesday night, which means we could see rain and storms lingering at times into Thursday and Friday of next week (September 13-14). We have seen runs, however, that push the front deeper into Alabama, which could shut off the rain and bring a refreshing airmass to the northern half of the state (lows in the mid to upper 50s).
TOPIC: TROPICS: Finally, it looks like the tropical system north of the Bahamas is getting its act together. Thunderstorms are firing near the lowest pressure, and winds aloft over the system are relaxing. There is still a good chance a tropical storm, or minimal hurricane, will threaten the coast of the Carolinas by Sunday. The NAM and the GFDL have shifted south, bringing the system to the South Carolina coast. Most other models take it to the North Carolina Outer Banks before turning it eastward again out to sea early next week. All of our readers along the South Carolina and North Carolina coast need to keep an eye on this thing. SSTs are very warm in the path of the system, and we all know about the rapid deepening we have seen with other tropical cyclones this season.
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
