I hate to admit that I plan to spend a total of about 12 hours in front of the television watching college football and the American League Championship Series on one of the most beautiful days of the year.
I am going to embark on a good bike ride between the Kentucky/Florida game and the baseball game.
Thought I would just make sure our weather was on track at 4 p.m.
Regional radars are clear across all of Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia and Northwest Florida. You have to travel to the Orlando area before you hit any precipitation. Showers and storms are widespread across South Florida. Showers are over the Northeast U.S. Rain and snow is over the western states in association with our next weather maker, a trough that has moved on the West Coast.
Numerous wind advisories are in effect across the West in advance of this intensifying system. A variety of Winter Storm Watches and Warnings are in effect for the Great Basin and Rockies. Over a foot of snow is expected at higher elevations of the northern Rockies by tomorrow night.
Skies are totally clear across Alabama. Temperatures at 3 p.m. were mainly in the upper 70s. Look for readings to be some 6-8 degrees warmer tomorrow.
It is very dry, with humidities less than 30 percent across the area. Although formal red flag warnings are not in effect, outdoor burning is a bad idea.
High pressure is centered bear Huntsville this afternoon. This high will move northeastward over the next 24 hours. A good southeasterly flow will commence tomorrow, and you will notice the warm breeze. Moisture levels will be on the rise, and dewpoints will be back above 60 by midnight tomorrow night. A chance of showers will also reappear during the overnight for us here in Central Alabama.
The morning run of the GFS conitnues with the idea of a closed upper level low forming to our northwest by Monday night. But the morning run brings it closer to Alabama, which is a good thing. It will serve to keep our weather unsettled through Thursday. The changes in the model output have greatly enhanced our rain chances and amounts for Monday through Tuesday. There will be some chance of storng to severe storms, but that chance is relatively small. We might even see some flooding. Flooding. Hmmmm. I remember that…it was a long time ago…but I do vaguely remember the concept of flooding.
Here is the 60 hour QPF from the 12z run of the GFS for the period ending at 7 p.m. Tuesday.
It indicates widespread 4 to 5 inch amounts across Central Alabama with some six inch amounts over West Central Alabama.
Of course, I will believe it when I see it, but the model’s solution is very plausible. Let’s keep our fingers crossed.
