Rain is now widespread over the northwestern quarter of Alabama, generally along and north of I-59.
Rain is moving into the Birmingham metro area.
The rain is heaviest over northern Walker and Winston Counties over into Cullman County.
Lightning activity is way down from earlier this morning.
Rainfall amounts are likely approaching one half inch over parts of West Central and North Alabama, with some one inch amounts likley from southern Lamar and northern Pickens Counties.
Rainfall should continue through the afternoon hours, and will become more widespread overnight as a warm front starts lifting north. There could be a little embedded thunder, but no realy problems are expected Until Tuesday.
Then a significant severe weather outbreak is expected across a wide area, including all of Alabama. If the instability materializes, and that is questionable right now…then there should be sufficient parameters in place for severe weather, including possible tornadoes and a damaging wind event. Timing looks like it might be from late Tuesday afternoon into the overnight.
Later forecasts will refine the threat and timing.
