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FRIGID AIR RETURNS: We will have one more shot of very cold air to deal with tonight and tomorrow before a decent period of milder weather arrives.
Today will feature a sky with more clouds than sun, and a high in the mid to upper 40s. Cloudy periods are likely tonight and tomorrow morning as the cold air rushes into the state, and you might see a few snow flurries in the cold air. The best chance of a dusting of snow will be up over the mountains of far Northeast Alabama, where a few snow showers are possible around Mentone and Desoto State Park. But, a really nice snow event seems to be shaping up for North Carolina, and parts of South Carolina, where 4 to 6 inches of snow is likely. Snow is a good bet all the way to the Atlantic coast; some accumulation is possible around the Outer Banks, and as far south as Wilmington. Winter storm watches are up for this region.
Tomorrow will be very cold; we will struggle to reach the mid 30s with wind chill index values in the teens much of the day; very similar to Thursday of last week. The coldest morning will be early Wednesday, with most places seeing a low in the 16 to 21 degree range.
WARMER DAYS: Look for a nice warming trend over the latter half of the week; we will rise into the upper 40s Wednesday, with upper 50s likely Thursday. The latest GFS MOS is spitting out 63 for Birmingham on Friday, which sure sounds nice. For now we don’t expect any rain on these three days.
WEEKEND PREVIEW: A cold front will bring a chance of showers Friday night into Saturday; looks like rain totals will be under one-half inch, and no severe weather is expected with weak dynamics and marginal instability. Seems like the best chance of rain will be in the 12:00 midnight (Friday night) to 12:00 noon (Saturday) range, but that might be adjusted as the week rolls along. The front stalls out over South Alabama Sunday, but for now we are looking dry Sunday, perhaps with some lingering clouds. The high Sunday should be in the 50s following the surface front.
VOODOO LAND: The 06Z GFS depicts a whopper of an upper trough on the Pacific coast early next week; this weakens and reaches Alabama around January 31 with a decent rain event showing up. Then, into early February, a strong cold front brings a rain/storm event around Feb. 3 followed by much colder air. But, voodoo is voodoo. The NAO does try to get back into negative territory around this time; watch the Weather Xtreme video for more.
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The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!
