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LOW 90s AGAIN TODAY: I really don’t expect much change in the weather today. Lots of sun, a high in the low 90s, and a few isolated storms during the heat of the day. The chance of any one spot getting wet today will remain small, about one in eight, so most of you will not have a shower to deal with.
TOMORROW AND THURSDAY: The upper ridge begins to break down, and we should see an increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow. Still, many places will stay dry. The best coverage of showers and storms should come on Thursday, with an upper trough passing overhead and a very moist airmass in place. We will continue to forecast scattered to numerous showers and storms on Thursday, with highs dropping into the low to mid 80s because of the lack of sun. No all-day rain, but it could rain at any time Thursday. Organized severe weather is not expected.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Model madness is creeping in; our forecast over on the seven day page shows dry weather Friday through Sunday, but the 00Z GFS says otherwise. The model has slowed the eastward progression of the upper trough, and suggests showers will still be around here Friday. Let’s wait on the 12Z GFS before we change anything. Drier air should move in over the weekend one way or another.
LONG RANGE: Still nothing too exciting showing up through mid-month; the GFS is showing a big upper trough out west, with general ridging around here, meaning typical June weather in Alabama for most days; warm and humid with some risk of an afternoon shower or storm in spots.
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