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STILL DRY: This will be the third dry day in a row for Alabama thanks to the dry, continental air that covers the state. Temperatures will rise into the upper 70s today with a good supply of sunshine.
TOMORROW AND FRIDAY: The ULL in the eastern Gulf still holds the key to our weather beyond today. We will introduce the chance of a shower by mid to late afternoon tomorrow, and then maintain a chance of showers on Friday. It appears the most widespread rain will stay down south, so rain amounts tomorrow night into Friday should not be especially heavy, and the rain won’t be too widespread. Just be ready for a few passing showers.
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: I will keep the chance of showers in our forecast for Saturday and Sunday, but the GFS maintains the idea that the most widespread rain will stay over the southern third of Alabama. So, hopefully a few showers won’t interfere too much with the outdoor events around here, including the SEC Baseball Tournament going on at Regions Park. We might even see a little sunshine at times. Rain will be more likely Monday as the broad surface low in the Gulf moves northward.
AT THE BEACH: Mostly cloudy and windy conditions are likely along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores over the holiday weekend, and there will be periods of rain and a few thunderstorms. Some rough surf and rip tide conditions are very possible as well due to the surface low in the Gulf. Afternoon highs will be close to 80, and the sea water temperature last night at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab was 72 degrees (F). We note it usually takes 80 degree (F) water for significant development of tropical storms and hurricanes. Hurricane season begins on June 1.
NEXT WEEK: Wet weather looks likely for at least the first half of next week as deep moisture moves into Alabama from the south.
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