As James and JB pointed out last night, the models have been coming in a little more aggressive for accumulating snow in parts of northern, and maybe central Alabama, tonight. And the overnight model runs have continued this trend. An … Continue reading →

Wow, what a close call. But, it looks like the low pressure area will be too far north for significant snow here. This storm could produce large snowfall amounts from eastern Oklahoma into Tennessee. Some 8″ amounts possible to our … Continue reading →

Scroll down for the photos, but ABC 33/40’s Tuscaloosa Bureau reporter Isaiah Harper reports that the National Weather Service in Birmingham has confirmed an EF-1 tornado in Eutaw this morning. Not surprising given the looks of the photos from C. … Continue reading →

The 850 mb jet is really bringing the moisture northward over Alabama right now. 850 mb winds are 50 knots and increasing, and the dewpoints should continue to rise slowly over the next few hours. Wind shear is also high, … Continue reading →

Warm temps over much of Alabama, with upper 70s as far north as Tuscaloosa this afternoon. Some severe storms have developed over southern Mississippi, out ahead of the main line of storms, which is still ahead of the main line. … Continue reading →

SPC has issued its severe weather outlook for Monday. To read it, click here. 00 UTC models have changed very little overall. The low may be a little stronger, and the dewpoints over Alabama a little higher, but the basic … Continue reading →

The 00 UTC NAM is coming in right now. No big changes…but new model run does take 60 dewpoints as far north as Nashville. This makes sense. Average wind speeds in the boundary layer (surface to about 4,000 feet) of … Continue reading →

SPC has placed most of Alabama in a slight risk for severe storms on Monday night, with areas to our west in a moderate risk. 00 UTC models are now mainly in. Looks like the surface low will stay to … Continue reading →

I’ve reviewed the latest models, and next week may be the most interesting week we’ve had weatherwise in a long time. On Monday, a strong upper-level storm will approach Alabama, with a strong cold front. Models are still not consistent … Continue reading →

As a research guy, part of my job is to *try* to figure out what happened with the intense squall line and winds that came through early Tuesday morning. A fairly normal, non-severe squall line suddenly accelerated to speeds near … Continue reading →