A threat for a few tornadoes will continue for the next few hours in WW 422 and WW 423. The greatest risk will exist in northern portions of Mississippi where the strongest forcing and most favorable low-level wind fields will overlap. Farther south, relative tornado risk will be lower. A new watch may be necessary across parts of Middle Tennessee, northern Alabama, and northeast Mississippi. Continue reading →

Isolated severe wind gusts remain possible in association with a line of storms moving from eastern Alabama into western Georgia. Storms along the coastal Florida Panhandle may produce a severe wind gust as well. Continue reading →

A line of thunderstorms will progress eastward across the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and southern Georgia today, with the main severe risk being damaging wind gusts. Continue reading →

Strong/damaging wind gusts and a tornado threat continue across valid portions of WW 420 this morning, with the potential for these severe hazards to occur being the greatest across the southern part of this watch. Continue reading →

A tornado threat remains possible through 11-12Z across southeast Louisiana into southern Mississippi with discrete storms, ahead of the primary line of storms. Meanwhile, the eastward-moving line of storms will continue through an environment conducive for damaging winds and a tornado threat. A new tornado watch will be needed by 11Z across central and southern Alabama and part of the western Florida Panhandle, as the air mass downstream destabilizes, supporting severe storms. Continue reading →

Locally strong wind gusts and a brief tornado or two will be possible during the overnight to early morning hours across northeast Arkansas, far northern Mississippi, and into western Tennessee. Uncertainty in coverage of these severe-weather threats may preclude watch issuance, though convective trends will be monitored, with potential for spatial watch extension of WW 419. Continue reading →

A tornado watch will be issued by mid afternoon across portions of central and southeast Georgia, and perhaps including parts of north Florida and southern South Carolina. A tornado threat will spread to the northeast as Hurricane Michael tracks toward southwest Georgia by early evening, after making landfall early this afternoon. Continue reading →

Tornado risk will continue to increase within the rain bands spreading inland through the afternoon from the central Florida Panhandle to northwest Florida and southwest Georgia, as Hurricane Michael approaches the Florida Panhandle. Continue reading →

Tornado risk will continue to increase within the rain bands spreading inland through the afternoon from the central Florida Panhandle to northwest Florida and southwest Georgia, as Hurricane Michael approaches the Florida Panhandle. Continue reading →

Mini supercells are becoming increasingly likely early this morning as the outer convective bands of Hurricane Michael move ashore. A tornado risk will accompany the stronger/more persistent mesocyclones/circulations. Continue reading →