NWS Mesoscale Discussion For N...

NWS Mesoscale Discussion For Northern Alabama For This Evening
Calendar June 9, 2025
NWS Mesoscale Discussion For Northern Alabama For This Evening

The NWS in Huntsville has released a mesoscale discussion for an MCS of thunderstorms that have the possibility to be...

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SPC Monitoring The Risk of Severe Weather; Issues Mesoscale Discussion For a Possible Watch Issuance
Calendar December 10, 2024
SPC Monitoring The Risk of Severe Weather; Issues Mesoscale Discussion For a Possible Watch Issuance

The storm prediction center is monitoring the need for a possible tornado watch issuance, and will also be upgrading portions...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar August 27, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Strong storms may pose at least some risk for potentially damaging wind gusts late this afternoon. While it still appears...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar August 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts will be possible through the afternoon from the central Gulf Coast vicinity northeast toward eastern...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579…
Calendar August 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579…

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will gradually shift southward across the discussion area through the early evening. The probability of a...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579…
Calendar August 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 579…

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 579. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms continue across mainly northern and central portions of...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar August 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts, some near severe limits, may occur with a southeastward-moving band of thunderstorms during the next few hours....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 22, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Storms will continue moving across portions of western and middle Tennessee this afternoon, with a few of the strongest cells...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 16, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Low-topped supercells may produce isolated damaging winds and a brief, weak tornado. A watch issuance is unlikely given the marginal,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 507…
Calendar July 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 507…

SUMMARY...A brief tornado or two will remain possible through the evening hours with the stronger outer rain-bands/cells associated with weakening...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar July 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A narrow corridor of localized wind damage or a brief/weak tornado exists from far eastern Mississippi toward the Alabama border....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A storm or two may acquire transient rotation/weak supercell characteristics overnight. A brief/weak tornado cannot be ruled out. The forecast...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Scattered storms are expected to pose a damaging-wind risk over the course of the afternoon. A WW is not expected...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 27, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A cluster of storms will likely persist into the afternoon. A few damaging wind gusts/downbursts will be possible. A WW...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 24, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms with primarily a strong to damaging wind threat may develop this afternoon. Watch issuance is possible. DISCUSSION...Storms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A severe threat may extend downstream of WW 433 from parts of western/central KY into middle TN, far northwest AL,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 22, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...An isolated threat for damaging wind and hail will persist for the next couple of hours, though a WW issuance...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 22, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should increase in intensity this afternoon with a risk primarily for damaging winds. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is possible...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 422…
Calendar June 22, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 422…

SUMMARY...Sporadic strong wind gusts will continue in and near WW 422 the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A long-lived bow echo continues...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely
Calendar June 21, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential will likely persist into the overnight hours and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is likely to the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418… 419…
Calendar June 21, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418… 419…

SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts will continue across portions of southeast KY into western, middle and parts of eastern TN this evening....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418…
Calendar June 21, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418…

SUMMARY...A damaging bow echo will continue to shift east/southeast this evening. A new severe thunderstorm watch will be needed across...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408… 409… 410…
Calendar June 20, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408… 409… 410…

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues to shift quickly eastward across portions of North Carolina and South Carolina, while shifting more slowly...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely
Calendar June 20, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop by 17-18Z over a large part of the Southeast U.S. and increase in coverage and...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406…
Calendar June 20, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406…

SUMMARY...Strong/gusty winds producing occasional damage should continue across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406. DISCUSSION...A line of convection is moving eastward around...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Severe Thunderstorm Watch Likely
Calendar June 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Severe Thunderstorm Watch Likely

SUMMARY...A bow echo over southeastern AR is rapidly moving east at 55kt and will exit severe thunderstorm watch 405 around...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A further increase in thunderstorm intensity and organization appears possible through 3-5 PM CDT. This may be accompanied by an...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Local risk for marginal hail, and a few damaging wind gusts, will continue across portions of the central Gulf Coast...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 17, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Clusters of strong thunderstorms will affect much of MS this afternoon, with gusty or locally damaging winds in the strongest...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 8, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible as thunderstorm coverage increases this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a low just west...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters will continue to pose a threat of locally damaging wind into the early evening. DISCUSSION...Several thunderstorm clusters are...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Linear segments will continue to move eastward across the area during the early afternoon hours. Some of the stronger segments...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Bowing segment, capable of isolated damaging wind gusts, may continue for a few more hours. The sparse nature of the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 6, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Transient supercells will be capable of intermittent strengthening of low-level mesocyclones with the strongest updrafts. A brief/weak tornado is possible...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 335…
Calendar June 6, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 335…

SUMMARY...Threat for water-loaded downbursts and brief tornadoes will continue across southern AL/MS and the western/central FL Panhandle for the next...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar May 11, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Storms evolving over northeast Mississippi may pose local severe/brief tornado risk this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Afternoon heating through broken cloud cover over...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar May 11, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Convective development occurring, associated with a remnant MCV. Some localized wind gusts/small hail possible. DISCUSSION...An MCV is tracking across portions...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar May 11, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Storms will become increasingly widespread across the western and central Gulf Coast region into the afternoon, but expect only locally...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar May 10, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A few supercells will likely persist across far southeast Louisiana and southeast Mississippi into southwest Alabama late this evening. A...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 157…
Calendar May 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 157…

SUMMARY...Local severe risk continues, particularly just east of WW 157. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that storms have become increasingly east-west...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar May 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A fast northeast-moving convective line will continue to pose a wind damage risk along with the potential for a brief...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 157…
Calendar May 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 157…

SUMMARY...Severe risk -- including potential for a couple of brief tornadoes -- continues. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a band of...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar May 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Locally damaging winds will remain possible over the next couple of hours across the northern and central Alabama vicinity. A...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 156…
Calendar May 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 156…

SUMMARY...Severe weather risk continues across WW 156, and will gradually expand eastward/southeastward with time. This expansion in risk area will...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130…
Calendar May 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130…

SUMMARY...Limited/local severe risk continues in/near WW 190. DISCUSSION...A loosely organized cluster of storms continues moving eastward across WW 190 --...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130…
Calendar May 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130…

SUMMARY...Local risk for severe storms continues in/near WW 190. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a still-loosely organized band of storms moving...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely
Calendar May 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Severe -- and possibly isolated tornado -- risk is expected to increase over the next 1-2 hours, with watch issuance...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar May 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Limited severe risk -- mainly in the form of gusty/locally damaging winds -- exists over portions of the southern Appalachians,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 129…
Calendar May 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 129…

SUMMARY...An isolated severe risk in the form of locally damaging winds and/or a brief tornado will continue to shift eastward...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar April 25, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms potentially capable of damaging gusts and perhaps a weak tornado or two are possible this evening across the FL...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 103…
Calendar April 25, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 103…

SUMMARY...The severe threat area continues to diminish in size, with the most likely area of a damaging gust or brief...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 102…
Calendar April 25, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 102…

SUMMARY...The threat for locally damaging winds and brief tornadoes continues within the watch area, and may increase this afternoon. Severe...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 86…
Calendar April 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 86…

SUMMARY...Isolated severe/tornado risk continues, and will shift gradually east/northeast with time. New WW may eventually be needed. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 86…
Calendar April 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 86…

SUMMARY...Isolated/limited severe risk persists across valid portions of the watch. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a persistent convective band now extending...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 86…
Calendar April 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 86…

SUMMARY...Risk for isolated severe storms and a tornado or two continues. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a complex/near-continuous band of thunderstorms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Trends are being monitored for a possible increase in thunderstorm organization and intensity during the next couple of hours over...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85…
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 85…

SUMMARY...Threat for isolated damaging wind should persist next couple hours from west central through southwest GA into a portion of...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Storms are expected to develop eastward into southeast AL, the central FL Panhandle and southwest GA overnight. Primary threats will...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 83…
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 83…

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind and a brief tornado is expected to persist over southeast MS through about 03Z or 04Z....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 83… 84…
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 83… 84…

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind and a couple tornadoes will persist from central to southwest AL and southeast MS through mid...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Storms will move into the discussion area late this afternoon and early evening. Observational and numerical model trends both suggest...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 82… 83…
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 82… 83…

SUMMARY...Short-term severe threat remains focused along a corridor from southeastern LA into eastern MS. DISCUSSION...Two distinct MCVs appear to have...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar April 18, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Severe threat will increase across MS and southeast LA over the next several hours. New Tornado watch will be issued...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Increasing strong to severe storm development appears likely across west central through northern Georgia, including the Greater Atlanta Metropolitan area,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 59… 60…
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 59… 60…

SUMMARY...Widely scattered strong to severe storms will overspread the region through midday, particularly across areas south through southeast of the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A broken band of storms continues to forward-propagate toward the discussion area and will pose a threat for tornadoes and...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 58…
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 58…

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues WW 58. DISCUSSION...A linear complex continues to migrate east-northeastward across western portions of WW 58....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Threat Continues
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Threat Continues

SUMMARY...The threat for tornadoes and wind damage continues for WW 57. A new tornado watch may eventually be needed downstream...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 56…
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 56…

SUMMARY...The tornado threat continues across WW 56, and should reach eastern portions of the WW around 08Z-09Z. In that timeframe,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 55…
Calendar April 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 55…

SUMMARY...Either a new Tornado Watch or a replacement Tornado Watch for WW 55 will be issued soon. DISCUSSION...An ongoing broken...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 55… 56…
Calendar April 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 55… 56…

SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely continue into the early overnight period as a line moves eastward into western Alabama. A...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 55…
Calendar April 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 55…

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues across tornado watch 55. The primary threat will likely be damaging winds into the overnight...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible for Southwest Alabama and Southeast Mississippi
Calendar April 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible for Southwest Alabama and Southeast Mississippi

SUMMARY...Line embedded supercells currently in south central Mississippi are expected to move east with a threat of damaging winds and...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 13, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A severe threat is expected to develop across eastern Mississippi and western to central Alabama. Marginally severe wind gusts and...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 8, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Storms may pose a risk for marginally severe damaging wind gusts and hail. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 8, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...An isolated hail/wind threat may develop this afternoon. Watch issuance is possible, but does not appear immediately likely. DISCUSSION...In the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 8, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Convective line will likely begin impacting the western FL Panhandle around 15Z. Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible. DISCUSSION...Regional radar...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 8, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...There will be a small window of opportunity for a brief tornado through about 12-13z. DISCUSSION...An isolated supercell has evolved...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 8, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts are possible, mainly across Okaloosa and Walton Counties in the FL Panhandle over the next...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 44…
Calendar April 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 44…

SUMMARY...A dying line of storms will progress east across Mississippi and perhaps into southwest Alabama this evening. While a few...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Discrete storms may continue for a few more hours, posing mainly a severe hail risk, though a few damaging wind...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar April 7, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms along a boundary may pose an isolated severe hail/wind risk this afternoon. Watch issuance is possible. DISCUSSION...Within a weak...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 6, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A few more damaging wind gusts remain possible with a bowing complex near the MS/AL border, before weakening with the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar April 6, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts possible with heavier downbursts located within an eastward propagating line. A WW issuance seems unlikely at...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar March 30, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue weakening trend from south-central KY into middle TN this evening. A marginal severe threat may...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar March 30, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Convection will continue to gradually develop across the discussion area over the next several hours, posing a threat for hail,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar March 30, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Area is being monitored for thunderstorm development. A conditional risk of hail, damaging wind, and perhaps a tornado will exist...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34…
Calendar March 25, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34…

SUMMARY...The severe risk continues although it will begin to diminish after sunset. Large hail remains the primary threat although strong...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34…
Calendar March 25, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34…

SUMMARY...Strong/severe storms are moving southeast across central Alabama with large hail as the primary threat. DISCUSSION...Severe storms are developing across...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar March 25, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Convection is forecast to increase in coverage over the next 1-2 hours, with a few stronger cells becoming capable of...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 29…
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 29…

SUMMARY...A couple of severe storms linger across parts of central through east central Alabama, but severe weather potential, in general,...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 25…
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 25…

SUMMARY...Vigorous thunderstorm development, including a few supercells, will likely continue, with a slow eastward progression across mainly central and eastern...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 25…
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 25…

SUMMARY...Several supercells have developed within tornado watch 25. The highest tornado threat will be over north central Alabama for the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Isolated supercells are possible with large hail and damaging winds as the primary threat. DISCUSSION...Surface-based storm development has started across...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 25…
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 25…

SUMMARY...Several supercells have developed between Jackson and Columbus, MS. These supercells are expected to strengthen through the afternoon. DISCUSSION...Several supercells...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...A gradual increase in storms is expected through the afternoon. A tornado watch will likely be needed soon. DISCUSSION...16Z surface...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 23…
Calendar March 14, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 23…

SUMMARY...Tornado watch 23 will be allowed to expire at 17Z. A downstream watch is not likely in the near term....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 15… 16…
Calendar March 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 15… 16…

SUMMARY...Potential for isolated damaging wind gusts and/or a brief tornado will continue across northeast MS, northern AL, and middle TN...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 13… 15… 16…
Calendar March 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 13… 15… 16…

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado will continue across central/east-central MS and west-central AL for the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 13…
Calendar March 9, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 13…

SUMMARY...Isolated tornadoes or damaging wind gusts remain possible across the region this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A large area of rain and thunderstorms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 8… 9…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 8… 9…

SUMMARY...The threat for tornadoes, damaging winds and isolated large hail continues across the remaining valid portions of Tornado Watches 8...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7… 8…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7… 8…

SUMMARY...The potential for isolated damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two is increasing ahead of newly developed convection in...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7… 8…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7… 8…

SUMMARY...An intense tornado with experimental tornado guidance suggestive of wind speeds 125-175 mph based on recent volume scans of rotational...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7… 8…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7… 8…

SUMMARY...The potential for tornadoes is seemingly most favorable with storms near and east of the surface low and as storms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7…

SUMMARY...Risk for damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes continues with the squall line across the MS/AL border. DISCUSSION...Convection has recently...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 7…

SUMMARY...Strong tornado potential appears to be maximizing over east-central AL through 3pm CST. DISCUSSION...A mature supercell located near Montgomery is...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 8…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 8…

SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue to increase over the next hour with supercells evolving from a cluster of storms in far...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 8…
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 8…

SUMMARY...Supercell tornado potential will increase during the next 2 hours coincident with the increasing number and maturation of supercells over...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...The initial signs of discrete convective development are occurring late this morning in the warm sector. Rapid environmental changes are...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar March 3, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A locally damaging wind threat may develop this morning. Convective trends will be monitored in the short term as to...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar March 2, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A strong storm or two could produce small hail and perhaps some gusty winds through early morning. The overall severe...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar February 24, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind gust or brief tornado cannot be ruled out over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A line of...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 5… 6…
Calendar February 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 5… 6…

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will continue from central MS into central/northern AL and far south-central TN the next few hours....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 5… 6…
Calendar February 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 5… 6…

SUMMARY...Corridor of greatest tornado potential the next few hours will extend from far east-central MS into northwest/west-central AL and far...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar February 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Storms are intensifying in west-central AL and at least one has exhibited weak/transient rotation indicative of a marginal supercell. Will...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar February 21, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Risk for a brief tornado associated with low-topped convection will exist over the next few hours. Watch issuance is not...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar February 20, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...An isolated threat for damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado will continue through early afternoon. DISCUSSION...Broken bands of convection...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar February 20, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A damaging wind or tornado risk may develop later this morning, and convective trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar February 12, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A line of showers and thunderstorms continues to move east across Alabama into southeastern Mississippi and will pose a threat...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar February 12, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated strong to damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado may occur this morning with a line of thunderstorms moving...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar January 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A semi-organized line of thunderstorms will continue to pose an isolated strong to damaging wind threat for the next couple...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar January 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...An isolated strong to damaging wind gust and perhaps a brief tornado cannot be ruled out this evening. Watch issuance...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar January 23, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Severe potential, at least in an isolated sense, should gradually increase through mid/late morning, initially across southeast LA and far...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 3…
Calendar January 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 3…

SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two will remain possible throughout Tornado Watch 3 for at least the next...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 2…
Calendar January 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 2…

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind and a few tornadoes will persist into the afternoon from southeast MS through southern and central...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar January 19, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind and isolated tornadoes is expected to develop eastward through southwest and central Alabama this morning into...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar January 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado are possible as the convective line continues eastward into southeast GA...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar January 4, 2019
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A low-probability threat exists for damaging wind gust and/or a brief tornado during the next 2 hours or so across...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 449…
Calendar December 31, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 449…

SUMMARY...Local severe risk -- including the potential for a brief tornado or two -- continues across the watch area. DISCUSSION...Latest...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar December 31, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Risk for isolated/local damaging winds and possibly a tornado or two remains apparent at this time, with Tornado Watch issuance...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar December 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...The potential for mesocyclones may maximize with quasi-discrete storms as they merge with the squall line. A modest conditional risk...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar December 13, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Several weak supercells will approach the barrier islands south of Mobile Bay and near the FL/AL border. Cool/stable conditions in...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 436…
Calendar December 2, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 436…

SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible across the watch area, and may spread into southeast Georgia this morning. DISCUSSION...Storms remain ongoing...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar December 2, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Periodic supercells with a threat of damaging wind or a tornado remain possible this morning across southern Georgia and possibly...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 435…
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 435…

SUMMARY...Convective development, including supercells with some risk for a tornado, remains possible, perhaps mainly across far southeastern Alabama into southwestern...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 435…
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 435…

SUMMARY...Threat for locally damaging winds and perhaps a tornado or two continues. DISCUSSION...Widespread convection is ongoing across WW 435 as...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/locally severe thunderstorms will be possible into early evening. The duration and coverage of the threat appears too limited...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 433…
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 433…

SUMMARY...Severe threat will gradually shift north across ww433 early this evening. DISCUSSION...LLJ appears to be translating inland across southern GA...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Isolated severe threat has developed over central Alabama. Primary risks are damaging winds and perhaps a tornado. DISCUSSION...Partial sunshine has...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 433…
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 433…

SUMMARY...Widespread strong convection will persist across the FL Panhandle region this afternoon. Isolated damaging winds remain possible along with some...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Severe threat will increase across the Florida Panhandle this afternoon. Damaging winds and perhaps a tornado are the primary threats....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar December 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...An isolated wind-damage and tornado threat will likely develop this morning across parts of southern Mississippi, southern Alabama and the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar November 25, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Severe weather potential still appears generally marginal, but will probably maximize in the 2-6 PM CST time frame across parts...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 427…
Calendar November 12, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 427…

SUMMARY...Severe threat should continue to diminish this evening. Additional downstream watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 427…
Calendar November 12, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 427…

SUMMARY...A brief tornado or strong wind gusts remain possible across eastern portions of the watch area, from southern Alabama into...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 426…
Calendar November 12, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 426…

SUMMARY...The threat for a few severe storms including damaging wind gusts and tornadoes persists along the Gulf Coast, and an...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 426…
Calendar November 12, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 426…

SUMMARY...Risk for severe weather -- including a tornado or two -- continues. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue in/near WW 426, both inland, and...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar November 12, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Risk for surface-based/severe storms -- including some tornado potential -- will continue to spread gradually northward into coastal portions of...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar November 7, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/gusty winds will remain possible through the afternoon. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Multiple ongoing clusters of thunderstorms across...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar November 7, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated instances of large hail and a couple of stronger wind gusts will be possible through this afternoon. Watch issuance...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar November 6, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Risk for damaging wind gusts may continue another several hours with convection spreading into the southern Appalachians. An isolated tornado...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar November 5, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Some risk for a supercell tornado remains across north-central MS and this risk may eventually move into west-central AL later...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 422… 423…
Calendar November 5, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 422… 423…

SUMMARY...A threat for a few tornadoes will continue for the next few hours in WW 422 and WW 423. The...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421…
Calendar November 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421…

SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts remain possible in association with a line of storms moving from eastern Alabama into western Georgia....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar November 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will progress eastward across the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and southern Georgia today, with the main...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 420…
Calendar November 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 420…

SUMMARY...Strong/damaging wind gusts and a tornado threat continue across valid portions of WW 420 this morning, with the potential for...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 419…
Calendar November 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 419…

SUMMARY...A tornado threat remains possible through 11-12Z across southeast Louisiana into southern Mississippi with discrete storms, ahead of the primary...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar November 1, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Locally strong wind gusts and a brief tornado or two will be possible during the overnight to early morning hours...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar October 10, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...A tornado watch will be issued by mid afternoon across portions of central and southeast Georgia, and perhaps including parts...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…
Calendar October 10, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…

SUMMARY...Tornado risk will continue to increase within the rain bands spreading inland through the afternoon from the central Florida Panhandle...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…
Calendar October 10, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…

SUMMARY...Tornado risk will continue to increase within the rain bands spreading inland through the afternoon from the central Florida Panhandle...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar October 10, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Mini supercells are becoming increasingly likely early this morning as the outer convective bands of Hurricane Michael move ashore. A...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar September 27, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A loosely organized cluster of storms has congealed over the last hour or so along the AL/GA border. Strong winds...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar September 24, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A few stronger/organized storms could develop over middle Tennessee and northern Alabama through this evening. Overall, the severe threat will...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar September 5, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A brief tornado or two may occur with one of the stronger cells embedded within Tropical Depression Gordon rain bands....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…
Calendar September 5, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…

SUMMARY...The risk for a brief/weak tornado will continue to diminish as the center of Gordon moves farther inland and the...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…
Calendar September 4, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…

SUMMARY...The tornado threat continues across WW 369. DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Gordon continues its northwestward trek, with landfall near the Mississippi/Alabama border....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar September 4, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat will gradually increase through tonight as Gordon approaches the Alabama/Mississippi coastline. Trends are being monitored for...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar September 4, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A brief tropical cyclone tornado or two will be possible as Tropical Storm Gordon approaches the Gulf Coast. While not...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible 345…
Calendar August 20, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible 345…

SUMMARY...Isolated 50-60 mph gusts, capable of wind damage, are possible with any supercell or stronger multicell early this evening. Although...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar August 9, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue develop across portions of Georgia and South Carolina. Severe wind gusts are possible, but an organized severe threat...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 31, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon over parts of Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia. A few of the stronger...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…
Calendar July 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

SUMMARY...The corridor of greatest threat for severe storms through 22z will be from southwest GA into north-central FL. DISCUSSION...A large...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303… 304…
Calendar July 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303… 304…

SUMMARY...Severe storms over southern AL will track southeastward into the FL Panhandle. DISCUSSION...Several intense thunderstorms, including multiple supercells, are affecting...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…
Calendar July 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

SUMMARY...Strong storms continue to affect parts of northeast FL. DISCUSSION...Numerous strong to severe thunderstorms continue to affect northeast FL. The...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…
Calendar July 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing over southern Alabama will likely intensify and become a severe threat in the next 1-2 hours. A new...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Storms should gradually increase in coverage/intensity late this evening into the overnight across southern AL and possibly into the western...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300… 302…
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300… 302…

SUMMARY...Scattered, mostly hail-producing thunderstorms, will continue propagating southeast across the region. DISCUSSION...Heights will be suppressed across the southern Appalachians this...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300…
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300…

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will propagate southeast across ww300 this evening. Large hail remains the most likely severe threat. DISCUSSION...Several thunderstorm...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms are expected to develop this afternoon over a portion of the southern Appalachian region. Some...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 297…
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 297…

SUMMARY...An ongoing forward-propagating line of storms is expected to advance south through the remainder of the Georgia and eastern Alabama...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 297…
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 297…

SUMMARY...Occasional damaging wind and isolated large hail remain severe-weather threats across mainly northern into central Georgia, and northeast to eastern...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 294… 295…
Calendar July 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 294… 295…

SUMMARY...New WWs will be coordinated with WFOs across Tennessee, northeast AR, northern Mississippi, northern Alabama and northern Georgia to replace...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 294…
Calendar July 20, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 294…

SUMMARY...The threat of severe weather continues across a large area from AR to the OH river with multiple potential corridors...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely
Calendar July 20, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to redevelop during the 00-03Z period along and perhaps ahead of the front, with a few...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 4, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Scattered convection continues to increase in coverage and will pose an isolated/brief damaging wind threat through the afternoon. A WW...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar July 3, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible with storms moving into a moderately unstable airmass. Organization and coverage of storms...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237… 238…
Calendar June 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237… 238…

SUMMARY...An isolated threat for strong to damaging winds should continue for another hour or two before diminishing. Additional Severe Thunderstorm...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Needed Soon
Calendar June 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Needed Soon

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues with bowing complex in far west Kentucky. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be issued soon. DISCUSSION...A highly...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236…
Calendar June 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236…

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 0236. Strong, gusty winds remain the primary concern. DISCUSSION...A strong surface pressure perturbation...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Needed Soon
Calendar June 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Needed Soon

SUMMARY...Southward propagation of a squall line has been associated with damaging winds. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231
Calendar June 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231

SUMMARY...Wind damage and hail will be possible across parts of middle Tennessee, Alabama and western Georgia over the next few...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely
Calendar June 28, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

SUMMARY...A severe threat is expected to continue across parts of the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachian Mountains late this morning....

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Calendar June 27, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY...A broken line of storms continues moving southeastward across central Alabama/Georgia. Strong wind gusts are the main threat although hail...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 208 Continues
Calendar June 23, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 208 Continues

SUMMARY...A few of the stronger storms, particularly in northern portions of WW 208, will continue to pose a tornado threat...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 23, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Gradually increasing convection across the discussion area may necessitate a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance, although convective coverage is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Satellite...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 23, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...A small thunderstorm complex with some damaging wind potential will continue east across the region through early afternoon. A watch...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 23, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Long-lived thunderstorm cluster continues to move across east-central Arkansas this morning. Additional thunderstorms to the east, across northeast Mississippi and...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 197…SW Alabama
Calendar June 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 197…SW Alabama

SUMMARY...Storms ongoing in central/eastern Mississippi will remain capable of damaging wind gusts through about 02Z. An additional WW is not...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Calendar June 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms expected this afternoon with large hail and damaging winds as the primary threat. DISCUSSION...In addition to...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely At This Time
Calendar June 22, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely At This Time

SUMMARY...A cluster of storms will continue east across northern Mississippi this morning, with some threat of damaging winds. Although a...

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196…
Calendar June 21, 2018
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 196…

SUMMARY...WW 196 is set to expire at 02Z and no downstream watch is expected. Storms may pose an isolated hail...

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