Author Archives: murray
Almost a Hurricane
The new package is out on Isaac. Stops just short of upgrading to hurricane. Pressure down to 981 millibars. Winds on the advisory at 70 mph. Movement is NW at 12. The plane found a widespread area of 60+ knot … Continue reading
Hurricane Force?
The Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane is finding a large area of +70 knot flight level winds on the southwest side of the storm in that large convective mass. I saw one 72 knot flight level wind, which would discount … Continue reading
Pressure Drops a Little
FAST FACTS AT 1 PM ———————————————- LOCATION…26.1N 85.9W ABOUT 255 MI…410 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 280 MI…450 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 … Continue reading
10 a.m. Notes
The latest information from the National Hurricane Center shows that Isaac is getting better organized, but has not strengthened as winds remain at 65mph. The storm continue to move NW at 14 mph. The latest track from the National Hurricane … Continue reading
8 a.m. Notes
Isaac appears to be developing an eyewall this morning according to the Hurricane Hunters. A center structure is evident on radar from Tampa, which is looking pretty high up into the storm. Satellite imagery has shown an apparent center feature … Continue reading
Isaac Strengthening?
Convection continues to increase dramatically late tonight in Tropical Storm Isaac and it seems we should start to see strengthening soon. Hopefully it will not be explosive deepening. The center is moving too far away from the Key West radar … Continue reading
Detailed Analysis of New Forecast Track
The new forecast package is in from the National Hurricane Center and it is shifted a little further westward again. There has been significant difference in the output of the various dynamical models with Isaac. Hopefully they will come into … Continue reading
Hurricane Warning Issued
Hurricane warnings have been issued from southeastern Louisiana through the Mississippi and Alabama coasts and to Destin on the Northwest Florida coast. FAST FACTS AT 4 PM ———————————————- LOCATION…24.2N 82.3W ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM SW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM … Continue reading
Pressure Down to 992 mb
Air Force reconnaissance just found that the central pressure in Tropical Storm Isaac is down to 992 mb. That represents a drop of 3 mb since the plane last penetrated the center just before 1 p.m. The early cycle guidance … Continue reading
European Still Has a Northward Track
The morning run of the European is in out to 66 hours and it still insists on a northward track toward the Florida Penhandle. The image is valid for Tuesday night at midnight. So, despite the GFS and a lot … Continue reading
