Author Archives: murray
Isaac Getting Better Organized, Still Has Not Strengthened
The 1 p.m. advisory is out and Isaac still has not strengthened. But it is getting better organized it appears. FAST FACTS AT 1 PM ———————————————- LOCATION…23.9N 81.5W ABOUT 50 MI…85 KM SSE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 75 MI…120 … Continue reading
Hook, or Slice?
FAST FACTS AT 10 AM: ———————————————– LOCATION…23.9N 80.8W ABOUT 80 MI…130 KM SE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 110 MI…180 KM ENE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H MINIMUM … Continue reading
Even the Hurricane Models Are Polarized
It seems our country is so polarized today. Nearly every issue drives people to both sides of the aisle. Seems the computer models are going that way as well. There is great polarization between the 18z GFS which brings a … Continue reading
Waiting on the Next Package
We’re about an hour from the next advisory package and updated forecast track. It will be interesting to see what the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center do, since there has been a significant westward shift in the model forecasts … Continue reading
No Straight Answers…Yet
Isaac is still disorganized this evening as it skirts the northern coast of Cuba. But it still has top winds of 60 mph and the central pressure has dropped a little to 997 mb. The storm will intensify as it … Continue reading
Showers On Radar
Moisture to the west of us is working into Alabama this afternoon, and the result has been considerable clouds and a few showers along an area of convergence. The lighter showers over Mississippi are weakening as they run into the … Continue reading
Isaac Could Become a Major Hurricane / More Model Hokey Pokey
Back to model hokey pokey. The morning run of the GFS has shifted the track for Isaac back to the west to near Mobile and Pensacola, and slows the system, delaying landfall until Wednesday morning. We will continue to see … Continue reading
Isaac Now Forecast to be Cat 2 by Tuesday
The latest advisory package is coming in on Isaac. It is near the eastern tip of Cuba. Winds 60 mph. Moving NW a little faster at 17 mph. Important development: forecast increased to 100 mph on Tuesday before landfall. That’s … Continue reading
Morning Forecast Discussion
Issac remains the main story in the weather on this Saturday morning. The forecast is a little clearer this morning and it appears that a landfall on the Florida Panhandle late Tuesday is likely. Conditions will deteriorate Monday night from … Continue reading
Forecast Track About the Same, Isaac Has Passed Haiti
…Forecast track basically unchanged. Slowed a little. Projected northern Gulf landfall around 2 a.m. Wednesday on Florida Panhandle mostly likely between Pensacola and Panama City. “Skinny black line” officially lies near the Walton/Bay County line right now (for comparison purposes … Continue reading
