Author Archives: murray

A Little Stronger, A Little Clearer Picture

Isaac is a little better organized and a little stronger late tonight. Top winds are now 70 mph and the central pressure is down to 990 mb. The storm looks more organized on satellite. Thunderstorms are now definitely forming around … Continue reading →

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A Few Showers, Isolated Storms

A few showers and isolated storms have popped up this afternoon over Alabama in a broad easterly low level flow that is transporting in slightly better moisture, acted on by the warm surface temperatures. One of the heavier cells is … Continue reading →

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4 p.m. Updated Cone

Tropical storm watches issued for South Florida. New Orleans removed from cone. Panama City area favored for the skinny black line, but everyone in the cone has to be on ready.

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Isaac at 4 p.m.

A few notes as we approach the 4 p.m. advisory time: Hurricane Hunters found 994 millibar central pressure. Still slowly strengthening. Still not very organized on satellite imagery, but trying to get its act together. Definitely moving northwest according to … Continue reading →

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Finding the Center

You put your GFS in, You take your GFS out, You put your EURO in And you shake it all about. You do the hokey pokey, And you turn yourself around, That’s what it’s all about. I had to laugh … Continue reading →

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Isaac A Little Stronger

…Top winds up to 60 mph so slowly getting stronger as it gets a little more organized. Storms starting to fill in around the center. …The storm is moving west northwest. The center is expected to cross the southwestern tip … Continue reading →

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TD #10 On The Board

Tropical depression number ten has been classified over the Central Atlantic now. The official forecast track from the NHC is shown above. It should remain north of the islands. Isaac is the one we have to watch. Look at the … Continue reading →

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Forecast Changes On Track

Click the image to enlarge and explore some of the data behind the discussion. In the last five hours: The dewpoint at Memphis has dropped from 61F to 54F. The dewpoint at Tupelo and Muscle Shoals has dropped from 66F … Continue reading →

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A Few Forecast Changes

With Brian out of pocket on vacation this morning, I thought I would post a few thoughts on the forecast this morning, since it seems it might be changing a bit. We notice one big difference this morning in what … Continue reading →

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Heavy Storms Moving Toward Birmingham Metro

Heavy thunderstorms are lifting northeastward across Central Alabama tonight. The first wave arcs from southeast of Tuscaloosa to west of Clanton.  Not severe by definition, but lots of intense lightning, heavy rain and some gusty winds. Report of trees down … Continue reading →

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