Author Archives: Scott Brown

10 pm Update: The Center of Elsa is Moving Northward, Just Offshore of Tampa Bay

After an earlier flurry of convective bursting and even the development of a eye in radar imagery, Elsa appears to have leveled off over the past couple of hours. Continue reading →

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7 pm Update: Elsa Has Restrengthened Into a Hurricane

On the forecast track, Elsa will move near or over portions of the west coast of Florida later tonight and early Wednesday morning. Elsa is forecast to make landfall along the north Florida Gulf coast by late Wednesday morning and then move across the southeastern United States through Thursday. Continue reading →

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4 pm Update: Tropical Storm Warnings Issued for Portions of the Georgia Coastline

There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge along portions of the west coast of Florida tonight and Wednesday, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for that area. Continue reading →

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WeatherBrains 807: I Am A Weather Museum

In this week’s show, we will learn about the National Weather Museum & Science Center! Co-Executive Director Ross Forsyth joins us. Dr. Elizabeth Smith, a research meteorologist at NOAA-NSSL & volunteer at the museum will be our guest Weather Brain! Continue reading →

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1 pm Update: Elsa Now Forecast to Become a Hurricane Before Landfall

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts, and Elsa is forecast to become a hurricane before making landfall. Continue reading →

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At 12:45 pm, Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Finds Elsa Stronger

Recent Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate that the Elsa has strengthened, and maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Continue reading →

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10 am Update: Heavy Rain & Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Now Affecting the Florida Keys

Elsa’s overall cloud pattern has changed little in organization since earlier today. There continues to be minimal shower and thunderstorm activity over the western semicircle of the circulation, with some bursting of deep convection near and east of the estimated center. Continue reading →

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7 am Update: Elsa Located Just West of Key West; Expected to Strengthen

Slow strengthening is forecast through tonight, and Elsa could be near hurricane strength before it makes landfall in Florida. Weakening is expected after Elsa moves inland. Continue reading →

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10 pm Update: Center of Elsa Emerges Back Over Water

Radar data from Cuba and Key West, Florida, along with surface observations, indicate that the center of Elsa is back over water, having emerged off the northern coast of Cuba around 9 pm CDT, or 0200 UTC. Continue reading →

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Convective Blow-Up Moving Onshore & Across the Florida Peninsula Tonight

The latest infrared satellite image shows a mass of convection that is moving onshore and across the Florida Peninsula this evening, which is bringing scattered to numerous shower activity to the area. Continue reading →

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