Author Archives: Scott Brown
10 pm Update: Elsa Approaching Chesapeake Bay
Elsa has become slightly better organized this evening. Convection near the center of Elsa has deepened, and the surface pressures have fallen a few mb since this afternoon based on observations over eastern Virginia. Continue reading
7pm Update: Flash Flooding Threat From Elsa Continues Especially for the Mid-Atlantic States Into New England
On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near the eastern mid-Atlantic states tonight, and move near or over the northeastern United States on Friday and Friday night. The system should move over Atlantic Canada by Friday night and Saturday. Continue reading
4 pm Update: Elsa Slightly Stronger; Headed for the Mid-Atlantic Coast
Elsa’s slight strengthening may be the result of baroclinic forcing associated with an approaching short-wave trough. The system’s cloud tops have warmed somewhat during the day, but it is still producing some very heavy rains. Continue reading
1 pm Update: Elsa Continues Moving Northeastward Over North Carolina; Heavy Rains Spreading Into Virginia
On the forecast track, Elsa will continue to move over North Carolina today, pass near the eastern mid-Atlantic states by tonight, and move near or over the northeastern United States on Friday and Friday night. The system should move over Atlantic Canada by Friday night and Saturday. Continue reading
10 am Update: Elsa Moves into North Carolina
Surface synoptic observations and high-resolution satellite images indicate that the center of the storm has moved into North Carolina. Continue reading
7 am Update: Torrential Rains Over the Carolinas as Elsa Heads Northeastward
On the forecast track, Elsa will move over South Carolina and North Carolina today, pass near the eastern mid-Atlantic states by tonight, and move near or over the northeastern United States on Friday and Friday night. The system should move over Atlantic Canada by Friday night and Saturday. Continue reading
10 pm Update: New Tropical Storm Warnings Issued for North Carolina and the Mid-Atlantic States
There is greater confidence tonight that some portion of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic coast will receive tropical-storm force-winds, so the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning in those areas. Continue reading
7 pm Update: Elsa Over Southern Georgia Producing Gusty Winds and Very Heavy Rain
Doppler radar and surface data indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected through tomorrow as Elsa moves over land. Continue reading
4 pm Update: Elsa Moving Into Southern Georgia; Tornado Threat Continues
As of 3:50 pm, much of the shield of moderate to heavy tropical precipitation associated with Tropical Storm Elsa has moved into the southeastern portions of Georgia, with the trailing tails of showers and storms stretching back across northeastern Florida and down into the central portions of the peninsula. Continue reading
1 pm Update: Elsa is Inland & is Weakening Over Northern Florida
The latest radar image for the state of Florida shows that much of the activity swirling around the center of Tropical Storm Elsa has moves well inland into northern Florida and into southern Georgia. Continue reading
