Author Archives: Scott Brown
At 7 am, Elsa is Very Close to Jamaica; Eastern Cuba is Next in Line to Get Tropical-Storm-Force Conditions
On the forecast track, Elsa will move away from the southern portion of Haiti during the next couple of hours, and continue to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba today, and approach central Cuba tonight. By Monday, Elsa is expected to move across central and western Cuba and head toward the Florida Straits. Continue reading
Mainly Dry & Warm for Your Independence Day Festivities; Still Watching Elsa
Dry weather for nearly everyone across the area for your 4th of July celebrations and on Monday, but rain chances start increasing for the rest of the week. We’ll also take a look at the latest on Tropical Storm Elsa. Continue reading
10 pm Update: Reconnaissance Aircraft Finds Elsa a Little Weaker as it Moves Slower Between Haiti & Jamaica
Elsa is undergoing a convective bursting pattern the past few hours, with some cold overshooting tops of -90 deg C east and northeast of the center. However, data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that this convective increase has not translated into an intensity increase. Continue reading
7 pm Update: Elsa Passes In Between Haiti & Jamaica
Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through Sunday, but gradual weakening is forecast on Sunday night and Monday when Elsa is expected to be near or over Cuba. Continue reading
4 pm Update: Tropical Storm Watches Issued for Cuba & The Florida Keys Ahead of Elsa’s Arrival
Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft have reported reliable 55-60 kt surface wind estimates from the SFMR, along with the latest central pressure report of 1000 mb. The initial intensity remains 60 kt (70 mph) based mainly on the SFMR data. Continue reading
1 pm Update: Center of Elsa Passing to the South of the Haitian Peninsula
On the forecast track, Elsa will move near the southern coast of Hispaniola later today and tonight, and move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba on Sunday. Continue reading
A Brief Late Morning Update on Central Alabama’s Weather
As of the 10 am round-up, temperatures were in the mid-70s to the lower 80s across the area underneath mostly sunny skies for most. Some southern locations have partly to mostly cloudy skies. Continue reading
The 10 am Update Finds That Elsa has Weakened to a Tropical Storm
Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast tonight, but gradual weakening is forecast on Sunday and Monday when Elsa is expected to be near or over Cuba. Continue reading
7 am Update: Elsa is Rapidly Approaching the Southern Coast of Hispaniola
Elsa is moving very quickly toward the west-northwest near 31 mph (50 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected later today and Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest Sunday night or Monday. Continue reading
An Outstanding Independence Day Weekend; Elsa Continues to Churn Away Over the Caribbean Sea
We’ll have an awesome holiday weekend with lower humidity and below-normal temperatures, before we return to more of a typical summertime pattern for the work week ahead. We’ll also take a look at the latest on Hurricane Elsa. Continue reading
