Author Archives: Scott Brown
Elsa Slightly Weakens for Now, Expected to Reintensify by Late Saturday
Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Elsa has weakened slightly, and that the flight-level and surface centers are not vertically aligned. Continue reading
Elsa Continues On a West-Northwestward Trek Across the Eastern Caribbean Sea
On the forecast track, Elsa will move across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight across the central Caribbean Sea on Saturday, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola late Saturday or Saturday night. Continue reading
Hurricane Watch Issued for Eastern Cuba as Elsa Moves Through the Eastern Caribbean Sea
Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Elsa has strengthened a little more since the last advisory, with a combination of flight-level winds, SFMR surface wind estimates, and dropsonde data showing that the maximum winds are near 75 kt. Continue reading
Elsa Strengthens As It Transitions Into the Caribbean Sea
Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands should monitor the progress of Elsa. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later today. Continue reading
Hurricane Elsa Passing Near to St. Vincent & St. Lucia
The intensity forecast calls for a little more strengthening during the next 36 hours as Elsa moves through an environment of light westerly shear. Continue reading
At 10 pm, Elsa Strengthening; Approaching the Lesser Antilles
Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin early Friday in portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, and are possible over portions of southern Hispaniola on Saturday, and are also possible over Jamaica beginning Saturday night. Continue reading
Elsa Nearing the Lesser Antilles; Tropical Storm Watches Issued for Jamaica & Parts of the Dominican Republic
On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba. Continue reading
Tropical Storm Watch Issued for Parts of Haiti Ahead of Elsa’s Arrival
The structure of Elsa has changed little since the last advisory, with the low-level center partly exposed to the northwest of the somewhat-ragged primary convective band. Continue reading
At 1 pm, Elsa Continues to Move Rapidly To the West-Northwest
Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later today. Continue reading
WeatherBrains 806: I Need The Last Two Years Off
This week’s show includes Harold Brooks and Paulina Cwik and the topic is tornado outbreaks! What are they? Have definitions been changing over time? Some of the reasons behind hotly-disputed events will be covered! Continue reading
