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As James pointed out yesterday, the weekend forecast is a no brainer. The series of great Fall weekends just keeps rolling along. Interesting observation this morning – temperatures across Birmingham were in the lower and middle 40s but where I am on Mt. Cheaha at about 2,400 feet the temperature is about 10 degrees warmer as a result of an inversion. I usually come up here in the summer to lose 5 to 8 degrees of summer heat, but today I gained 10 degrees by coming to a higher elevation. No matter how old I get (read that recent birthday), I’m still fascinated and amazed at the weather.
As we get into the work week, a front is forecast to blast through here early Tuesday morning. GFS has been pretty good in forecasting a dry front, but the latest forecast has shifted to a slightly wetter version. I still think the front will be dry with little moisture to work with. Perhaps we might see an isolated shower or two early Tuesday, but I really don’t see it happening right now.
The surface highs settles in over us on Wednesday morning, and we could see a good deal of frost as well as some freezing readings in those normally colder locations. Coldest temperatures of this Fall season so far. But in typical Central Alabama fashion, we should see a quick warm up before the next system arrives.
With the long wave trough over the east coast of the US, the GFS is showing a couple of Nor’easters – one around November 10th and a second one around the 13th. But that is voodoo land so expect to see changes to that forecast.
Noel moving out of the picture this morning as it become extratropical but maintains hurricane status and creates problems for the Canadian Maritimes. Small area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean is being watched, but no significant development expected now.
With the long wave trough position situated over the East Coast of the US, expect to see the colder than normal weather stay with us. Next shot for a possibility of rain looks to be around the 12th or so, though timing may be adjusted somewhat.
Don’t forget one week from today is Storm Alert Xtreme at the BJCC. This is our annual storm spotter training program. If you have an interest in weather, this is a must do if you can. Spotters are so important to the warning process, and so training becomes important too. Even if you’ve had spotter training, annual refresher training is good to do. Hope to see you there.
I’m at Cheaha State Park for several days having a wonderful time with the great Fall color. Colors seem to be a little later this year with many, many leaves still on the trees. And the colors are beautiful. Off to Lineville in Clay County later this morning for their Heritage Day festivities.
I hope you have a great weekend. God bless.
-Brian-
