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Interesting times ahead in the weather office… within the next 10 days we have the potential for some beneficial rain, and the first frost of the season…..
SHORT TERM: A very nice storm system is rolling through the nation’s heartland this morning, with good from potential from Indianapolis to Little Rock to San Antonio. Rain will move into cities like Memphis tonight, ever so close to Alabama. The primary dynamics with this system, however, will weaken and pass well to the north of here, so rain tomorrow and Wednesday most likely will be light and spotty. We will mention the chance of widely scattered showers and storms both days with a high not far from 80 degrees. If anything, coverage of the showers will be best on Wednesday as moisture levels will be deeper, and a stalled surface boundar will be around here somewhere.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY: Looks like Thursday will offer our best chance of really significant rain on a widespread basis as another upper trough approaches from the northwest. SPC even has a slight risk of severe storms down into the northwest corner of Alabama on Thursday; I doubt if severe weather will be a big issue, but hopefully we will see one inch of rain for many communities in the general period from 9:00 a.m. Thursday through 12:00 p.m. Friday. Some spots might more than one inch; as you know rain distribution is never really even with convection involved. The rain should end from west to east during the day Friday, and at the moment it looks like most all of the rain will be over by the time the high school football games begin Friday night.
WEEKEND PEEK: At this point the weekend looks dry and warm, with lots of sunshine on Saturday and Sunday along with highs in the low 80s.
CHILLY AIR NEXT WEEK: The GFS continues to show the coolest air so far this season rolling in here early next week. The front will bring a chance of showers and storms on Monday (one week from today), followed by some very chilly air Tuesday and Wednesday. This will bring the chance of the first frost of the season to North Alabama with lows down in the 30s. That should make the cool weather fans very happy, and give the air conditioners some much needed rest.
STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you on Saturday, November 10 at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will be recording a few show tonight… it will be posted by 10 p.m. or so.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. This is a great way to find the latest weather-related news stories. Lots of very interesting articles over there this morning.
I will be speaking at Liberty Park Elementary School this morning… then it is back to the office and the afternoon Weather Xtreme video should be posted on time, by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day!
