Ingrid is hanging tough as a tropical depression just east of the Leeward Islands. The system is moving west for now but is expected to turn back to the west northwest. The official forecast track carries it north of the islands and turns in north along 65W longitude, the longitude of Bermuda. At five days, it will still be nearly 500 miles south of that island nation and the big question will be if it survives. Even if it does, it should turn to the northeast eventually.
The tropical wave east of the islands might still develop, but it travels into the open Atlantic through a weakness.
A tropical wave over the central Caribbean bears watching. Recent runs of the GFS still try to develop something in the western Caribbean and eventually up into the Gulf, but it stopped short of making it a significant tropical storm.
Look for a fairly good chance of something tropical in the Gulf this week. Does it move into Florida (likely) or over to Texas? We will be watching.
In any case, we may see a surge of tropical moisture into Alabama and the Deep South late in the week. No complaints here.
