Published on: November 18, 2008 at 2:52 PM

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APPROACHING RECORD COLD: We still think most places around here will be somewhere between 22 and 27 degrees at daybreak tomorrow. Birmingham’s record low for November 19 is 18 degrees (set in 1903)… I doubt if it gets that cold at the Birmingham Airport, but I do think the colder valleys will drop down into the upper teens. It will be very interesting to watch the low temperature reports come in tomorrow morning.

DRY DAYS: The weather stays cool and dry tomorrow and Thursday with highs in the 50s; then another shot of cold air blows in here Friday with a brisk north wind; looks like another day with highs in the 40s despite a sunny sky. We would normally be in the 60s in mid-November in Alabama.

WHAT ABOUT THE WEEKEND: Dry and chilly weather continues through Saturday and Sunday. Looks like we begin the weekend with early morning temperatures in the 20s early Saturday, with highs in the 50s Saturday and Sunday. A disturbance aloft could bring some scattered clouds Saturday, but the low levels are very dry and we don’t expect any rain.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: We continue to see evidence that some rain could return to Alabama late next week; the 12Z GFS shows a nice rain event on Friday November 28 (the big shopping day), followed by a sharp change to colder weather the following weekend. No way we can nail down details at this time; watch the Weather Xtreme video for more model madness out there in the medium range.

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