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A COOL CHANGE: We note that Haleyville has dropped to 55 degrees at 5:00 a.m…. Birmingham is at 68, but we figure that will fall slowly during the next few hours, and temperatures will hold in the 60s all day today with a cool north breeze. Some light rain will continue to fall this morning, but amounts should be under a quarter of an inch for most spots. We figure all of the rain will be over by midday as it all shifts down into South Alabama.
FINE FALL WEEKEND: We are still looking at a very nice autumn weekend; the high tomorrow will be around 70, with low 70s on Sunday. Early morning lows will be down in the 40s; we note the NAM is now printing 43 for Birmingham at daybreak Sunday. We are pretty confident some of the colder valleys will reach the upper 30s with some risk of scattered light frost in those places.
NEXT WEEK: We stay dry Monday through Wednesday. Beyond that, a deep upper low should develop northwest of Alabama during the latter half of the week, and some rain should return to Alabama during the latter half of the week. For now, we have mentioned rain on Thursday, but the 00Z GFS hints the rain could hold off until Thursday night or Friday. We will be able to fine tune that timing over the weekend.
THE LAND OF VOODOO: The 00Z GFS just goes wild in the October 25-28 time frame. It shows a whopper of an upper trough just west of here, pulling a tropical storm into the central Gulf coast with lots of rain, followed by much colder air. This is the first time we have seen this, and it will probably vanish on future runs. Check out the Weather Xtreme video to see it… that certainly means no confidence in any forecast for that weekend (October 25-26).
STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
TWITTER: Don’t forget, you can follow our news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. And, my personal Twitter feed is here if you want to keep up with my adventures in life. Twitter is a short messaging service you can receive via the web, cell phone, or IM.
I am headed to Tuscaloosa this morning to speak at Woodland Forrest Elementary School… I will be back in the office by early afternoon and the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme video should be posted by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day!
