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GETTING DRY AROUND HERE: Birmingham’s rain total for the month of September is going to be only 0.40″. We still have a rain surplus of 2.72″ for the year, but most other Alabama cities are showing a very significant deficiency. Rain deficiencies since January 1 include 1.96″ at Anniston, 10.00″ at Tuscaloosa, and 13.18″ at Huntsville. We do have a ray of hope for some rain early next week.
TODAY: We will rise into the mid 80s today with a good supply of sunshine. Our front will pass through this evening in dry fashion, followed by a nice cool change.
WELCOME OCTOBER: Our new month will arrive with a new airmass. Our high will be somewhere between 71 and 75 degrees with a fresh north breeze tomorrow, and by daybreak Thursday everyone will be down in the 40s. The high Thursday will be in the low 70s as the refreshing fall weather continues.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather stays dry, with a slow warming trend. Expect a high in the low 80s Saturday and Sunday, with early morning lows in the 50s. Great for football, and racing at Talladega.
NEXT WEEK: The 00Z GFS is more aggressive with a strong short wave moving out of Oklahoma, and suggesting a chance of showers Monday, becoming more likely and widespread Monday night and Tuesday. We won’t jump on this yet… lets look at more runs since it might disappear. But, we sure do need the rain.
TROPICS: Subtropical storm Laura is in the middle of the North Atlantic, and could be a problem for the United Kingdom this weekend, so needless to say we won’t worry too much about that here in Alabama. Also, the eastern Gulf remains unsettled, but the strong upper trough digging into the eastern U.S. will bring harsh upper winds to that region, and tropical storm formation is not expected.
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Today I am headed up to Jasper to speak at Memorial Park Elementary School… I will be back in the office by early afternoon and the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30 or so. Enjoy the day!