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The surface cold front is about to pass through Birmingham as I write this update. A narrow band of showers has formed on the front, and will move out of the state later this afternoon as much cooler and drier air moves in.
No real change in our thinking; our weather will be dry through the middle of next week with very comfortable temperatures tomorrow and Friday. I like the GFS MOS temperatures; it shows a high of 76 tomorrow and 73 on Friday (a secondary shot of cooler air will arrive then)… followed by a low of 48 early Saturday morning. We note the NAM is suggesting that we drop to 46 early Saturday morning, which will be within three degrees of the record low for May 19.
We warm up a bit over the weekend with a high near 80 on Saturday, followed by low to mid 80s on Sunday. But, the humidity will remain low and the weather will simply superb for the Regions Charity Golf Classic at Ross Bridge.
NEXT RAIN EVENT: Unfortunately, the 12Z GFS has lost the strong upper trough in the May 24-25 time frame, but this run could be an outlier. One way or another, our next chance of showers and storms will come toward the latter part of next week.
LONG RANGE: The 12Z GFS continues to show a tropical storm in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico on June 1… this feature has been very consistent in model output for several days… makes you wonder if the tropical season will begin with a flurry of activity. Lets hope if something does form down there it will bring some beneficial rain to at least a part of the Southeast U.S.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather hosted by David Black and featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
I sure enjoyed seeing the kindergarten kids at Oxford Elementary School today… be watching for them on the KIDCAM today on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00. I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….
