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Not much to discuss in the short term… no rain through the weekend with mild days and chilly nights. A fresh supply of continental air rolls in here on Thursday. The latest GFS MOS is coming in a little cooler, with highs in the upper 60s and lows well down in the 40s by Friday and Saturday. Bottom line is that the beautiful autumn weather will continue for the next five to seven days, and the rain deficits will keep growing larger.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The 12Z run of the GFS brings a cold front in here Tuesday of next week, one week from today, but with very little moisture to work with. The model hints nothing more than a few isolated showers. Then, another shot of chilly air rolls into the state by Wednesday and Thursday of next week.
The 12Z run also has our November 10 rain and storm event back on the table, with a sharp upper trough to the west of the state. That is really our next hope for significant rain, and that is out there in voodoo land.
And, even deeper into voodoo land, the model floods much of the eastern half of the nation with some very cold air for this time of the year in the November 13-16 time frame. I do think the screaming message is that temperatures around here will be below normal for the month.
TROPICS: No change in the thinking on Noel; the tropical storm will bring lots of wind and rain to the Bahamas through tomorrow night, then it turns northeast, out to sea. There will be some good bands of rain for the southeast coast of Florida though mid-week, but the core of the system will remain east of the U.S. mainland. See the Weather Xtreme video for more graphics and satellite images.
STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you on Saturday, November 10 at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here. If you like to read this blog, then you will love this event.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. This is a great way to find the latest weather-related news stories.
I had a great time driving up to Glencoe today; I spoke to a large group of home schoolers and their parents. Be watching for them on the KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News!
