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DRY IS THE WORD: We haven’t used it often, but dry weather is the story through the weekend, with a continuation of sunny mild days and clear cool nights. We are actually a little warmer than forecast this afternoon, with most places up in the low to mid 70s, and it looks like we will need to bump up afternoon highs a bit tomorrow as well. But, a fresh surge of cooler air arrives tomorrow night, so Thursday and Friday should be a little cooler. Friday will be the coldest morning, with upper 30s likely. Some of the colder spots could see a light freeze at daybreak Friday with a good blanket of frost.
THE WEEKEND: We warm up again over the weekend, with highs in the 70s on Saturday and Sunday as an upper ridge builds in from the south. Lows will remain in the 40s, and there is no chance of rain with a good supply of sunshine each day.
NEXT WEEK: Model madness is the story; watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 12Z GFS keeps the ridge over us, pushing the best chance of rain to the middle or end of the week. We will make no changes for now and leave a decent chance of showers and storms in the forecast for Tuesday. Just be aware some changes, most likely, will be needed.
TROPICS: A disturbance in the far Southwest Caribbean has come chance of becoming Tropical Storm Ida in coming days. Some models push it into Central America; some bring it up toward the Yucatan Channel and the Gulf. No worries up this way, however, with cool SSTs across the northern Gulf. We note the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is only 65 degrees (F). You really need 80 degree water for hurricane/tropical storm issues. Most of the late season action is out in the deep tropics.
STORM ALERT XTREME: Want to be trained as a storm spotter? Want to join the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team? Our annual training event, Storm Alert Xtreme, is coming up on Saturday November 15 at the BJCC during the annual Birmingham International Auto Show. You will be trained by the best SKYWARN trainer in the nation, our own Brian Peters (he has trained over 6,000 Alabama storm spotters over the years), and learn from one of the most brilliant weather researchers in the country, our own Dr. Tim Coleman. We encourage all of our Skywatchers to attend this every year; you simply cannot get enough training. We will begin at 9:30, and be out by 3:30. And, everyone that attends Storm Alert Xtreme gets free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show. There is no admission charge, and no need to register. Just show up, but get there early for a good seat. We had a packed house last year.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. Scroll down for the show notes for this week’s episode; Dr. Chuck Doswell was our guest last night. A really good program; great to have him on the show.
I had a great time today visiting the 3rd graders at Rocky Ridge Elementary in Hoover; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…