Published on: March 24, 2009 at 2:36 PM

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Be sure and watch the Weather Xtreme video for all of the graphics that go along with this discussion. Quite a forecast in the days ahead.

BIG TIME RAIN EVENT: A classic synoptic scale heavy rain/flood event is shaping up for Alabama between tomorrow and Saturday. The QPF from HPC suggests 5.5 inches of rain for much of Alabama, and you can read Dr. Tim’s discussion below on the flood potential. The greatest risk of flash flooding will be in the Thursday-Saturday time frame, and river flooding is likely over the weekend and into early next week. If you live along a major river, or in a flood-prone area, pay close attention to the weather in coming days.

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE: The initial batch of severe storms will drop into Alabama tomorrow, but severe weather doesn’t look likely at this time with weakening dynamics. However, SPC has much of Alabama in a slight risk of severe weather on Thursday. A few rotating storms are possible Thursday with a stalled surface front in the area, and a relatively unstable airmass.

Still looks like the most significant severe weather threat will be sometime in the Friday night-Saturday time frame. Our old front will lift northward during the day Friday, and after morning rain the sun should pop out Friday afternoon, potentially pushing temperatures into the 80s and making for a very unstable atmosphere. The latest run of the GFS is a little slower with the next batch of storms to work with that airmass, hinting that it might be a daytime event on Saturday.

The bottom line is that is still a little too early to be specific about times where severe weather is most likely, but the threat Friday night into Saturday could be significant, and it wouldn’t hurt anything to check your NOAA Weather Radio, and review your family safety plan just in case it is needed.

Drier air arrives Saturday night, and Sunday and Monday look dry with seasonal temperatures and a good supply of sunshine each day.

VOODOO COUNTRY: The active pattern will continue into April… with a storm system impacting Alabama every three to four days. Of course, we can’t really be specific with dates at this phase of the game.

SPECIAL ABC 33/40 NOAA WEATHER RADIO OFFER: You can purchase the WR-100 Midland NOAA Weather Radio, the best selling model in the nation, at any Publix or Handy TV location in this part of Alabama for only $29.95. These receivers have the new digital technology that allows you to choose the counties for which the alarm sounds. Every Alabama home and business needs one!

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I had a great time today seeing the 3rd graders at Verner Elementary in Tuscaloosa… be looking for them on the KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…