Not a great deal of change since our post close to midnight.
At 3:30 am, the main line of thunderstorms extended from West Tennessee through West Kentucky into Ohio. The line of storms is somewhat irregular but there is considerable lightning all along the line. Several Severe Thunderstorm Warnings across the Ohio Valley.
No Severe Thunderstorm Warnings (West and Middle Tennessee, for example,) since around 1 am or so. NWS/Memphis has a Flash Flood Warning for part of Extreme East Arkansas and the NW corner of Mississippi where an estimated 2 to 4 inches of rain has occurred.
Not a single shower or thunderstorm in Alabama at 3:30 am. The east progress of the line of storms is painfully slow and storms keep forming over the same general area and then head toward the NE.
There were no Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watches in effect at 3:30.
The intense surface low was centered near Omaha and it is a biggie. Winds are howling around the low and Blizzard Warnings are in effect in places like South Dakota where 6 to 12 inches of snow will be whipped into big drifts and winds gusting 40-50 mph.
BACK HOME IN ALABAMA: Latest from the SPC is a continuation of a slight risk of severe weather for all of Alabama in the next 24 hours. The line of storms may edge into NW Alabama later this morning and weaken but it may lay down an outflow boundary for redevelopment later today further south. Probably will not see much along the I-59 corridor till mid-day and into the afternoon.
Does not look like a repeat of last Friday when thunderstorms roamed the entire Alabama landscape and a lot of them became severe.
Unless something really explodes (which I doubt) the next update will probably be the morning video discussion from James soon after 6.
A NOTE OF CAUTION: Almost always there are last minute surprises in severe weather events so we should not take the so called “slight risk” for granted.
