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Looks like two more active days for showers and thunderstorms across the great state of Alabama. A short wave (formerly known as Hurricane Dolly) will interact with the ocean of humid air over our state for scattered to numerous showers and storms tomorrow and Friday. The heavier storms will produce vivid lightning, tropical downpours, strong winds, and maybe even some small hail. Both the GFS and the NAM hint that we will fail to reach 90 degrees tomorrow and Friday due to clouds and showers. Most folks won’t complain about that at the end of July and the first of August, which is usually the hottest time of the year.
Rain amounts will average one inch through Friday, with some neighborhoods getting over two inches.
THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK: The trend here is for increasing heat levels and decreasing showers. The best chance of afternoon storms over the weekend will be over South Alabama; I guess you can’t rule out one or two showers around here somewhere, but they should be few and far between. We should climb into the mid 90s over the weekend.
The GFS shows the heat ridge expanding into Alabama on Monday and Tuesday; seems like the ridge will be at peak strength on Tuesday. On both of these days, we should rise into the upper 90s. I am optimistic the good soil moisture will keep us out of triple digits, but some places in West Alabama could reach 100.
The heat should slowly back off toward the end of next week with an increase in the chance of afternoon showers and storms.
TROPICS: A strong tropical wave is approaching the Cape Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic; the high latitude of that one should mean cooler water in the days ahead, along with a likely recurving path that will keep this one out of the headlines.
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I am going to take a little time off before school starts… so Brian Peters will be handling the Weather Xtreme videos beginning tomorrow, through Wednesday of next week. I will return on Thursday August 7. Tim Coleman and I are going on a major adventure tomorrow down the Black Warrior River… I will post pictures from the waterway if cellular coverage is decent!
