An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.
Fay moved into South Florida, a little below Naples, this morning as a tropical storm. Rain and wind will continue over much of the Florida peninsula today; the biggest issue will be the potential of some flooding, and isolated small tornadoes in the spiral bands wrapping around the system. It looks more and more like Fay will be in our future here in Alabama… but first….
SHORT TERM: Our weather looks rather benign through Friday… the GFS is coming around to the drier NAM solution, and we will just mention the chance of a few scattered showers and storms each afternoon through the rest of the week. In fact, both models really suggest today and tomorrow will be dry around here. The chance of showers will be higher on Thursday and Friday, but on those days the rain won’t be really widespread.
FAY’S IMPACT ON ALABAMA: The NHC continues to adjust their track as the models deal with the blocking high north of Fay, turning the system back to the west. Be sure and watch the Weather Xtreme video for all of the graphics associated with this.
The GFS continues the idea of Fay moving back into the Gulf of Mexico, with another landfall around Pensacola or Fort Walton Beach over the weekend, as a tropical storm or even a minimal hurricane. It has not really wavered from this solution over the past 36 hours.
Most of the other models move Fay westward through South Georgia and into South Alabama, which is pretty much how the NHC has drawn their forecast track.
One way or another, we sure seem to have a good chance at some beneficial rain here in Alabama at some point Saturday through Tuesday. The models are suggesting that the best chance of rain here will actually come late Sunday into Monday; needless to say, the forecast confidence is low now, and the forecast will have to be fine tuned as the week rolls along.
This scenario will bring more good than harm to Alabama; a good soaking tropical rain is excellent news. And, if the system doesn’t get into the Gulf of Mexico, that means any chance of high wind or small tornadoes would be very low here.
BOTTOM LINE: Keep an eye on the blog in coming days… this will be a very fascinating storm to follow.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. Have a great interview with Stacy Stewart of the National Hurricane Center on this week’s show… Brian will post show notes shortly.
TWITTER: Don’t forget, you can follow our news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. And, my personal Twitter feed is here if you want to keep up with my adventures in life. Twitter is a short messaging service you can receive via the web, cell phone, or IM.
The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
