A quick update on Felix the Cat…the sixth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season…
Felix is strengthening…top winds 65 mph. Air Force plane reported central pressure of 1001 mb. Will become a hurricane by tomorrow. Will be a major hurricane by Monday. Will be a very dangerous hurricane in the NW Caribbean.
At 10 a.m. CDT…Felix was 600 miles southeast of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic. Moving west of 18 mph.
Should stay on westerly, or just a little north of west until the NW Caribbean, when the question will be how much of a ridge is over the Gulf. It could take a more northwesterly track by the end of the period. This causes concern for the Gulf. Way to early to really tell, but all interests will have to watch it closely.
Model rundown…
Canadian…00z run…takes it to the Nicaragua/Honduran coast…interestingly develops another tropical storm off the coast of the Carolinas…
GFDL…06z run…takes it to Belize by early Thursday…
GFS…06z run…takes it to Honduras/Nicaragua…
The NOGAPS and UK Met carry it toward the northern Yucatan…toward the Gulf…
The HWRF says Jamaica and northern Yucatan…then Gulf…
We have to watch any hurricane this time of year that gets near Cuba or the Yucatan…the list is long…Eloise, Frederic, Ivan, Dennis…
