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Wow, what a day Saturday turned out to be! How many July days can you count where the afternoon high only gets to 82? Yup, that was the official high at the Birmingham airport. I got to 84 at my house, but that’s still not bad for July. And then a bit of rain off and on throughout much of the day until the rain ended by late afternoon. These are the kind of summer days to savor, and I did a little savoring around 4 pm sitting on my front porch watching the rain come down. I know, I know, get a life!!!
Today and the next couple of days appear less active. We’re starting out cloudy with low stratus clouds and some fog though visibilities were not severely restricted. The upper level remains fixed with a northwesterly flow, but the air coming our way seems to be coming a tad drier at higher levels. This should restrict the number and coverage of showers – at best we may see an isolated shower or two but it looks like most of us will be dry.
And that pattern remains with us through the first half of the up coming week with some return to hotter temperatures – some approaching that triple digit value. We’ll still have to watch that northwesterly flow for the development of any storms well off to our northwest, but what has my interest is the remnants of Dolly.
A weak upper disturbance that is the remains of Dolly is forecast to phase with a weak short wave coming across the Central US on Wednesday and once again deepen a trough over the eastern third of the country. This should bring scattered showers back on Wednesday and perhaps numerous showers on Thursday. After that disturbance passes late Thursday, we’ll dry out some. But the combination of widespread showers and clouds could mean another mid 80s high on Thursday. And I’ll take that with no complaints.
That upper disturbance moves off the Southeast US coast and across Florida and into the eastern Gulf by next Sunday. While the GFS doesn’t do anything with it, I wonder what might happen then but that is a long way out.
The GFS in the longer range keeps the trough over the eastern third of the US, however, a ridge is being forecast to build into the Central US around the 14th and that could mean some pretty hot weather for mid August.
Tropics are quiet with only a weak disturbance in the middle of the Atlantic where conditions do not appear favorable for anything to develop into a storm.
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James Spann will be back first thing tomorrow morning with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. I thank you for coming by to read/watch this post. I hope you have a wonderful Sunday and can spend some time with family and friends. God bless.
-Brian-
