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Happy Fourth of July!
TODAY/TOMORROW: Dry air continues to cover the northern half of Alabama, and most all backyard barbecues and the big fireworks shows should be safe from any rain. We believe the showers and storms today should be generally along and south of U.S. 80, or south of a line from York to Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery and on to Opelika. There is a pretty sharp dewpoint gradient in this area, and that should mark the northward extent of the storms. We expect highs in the low to mid 90s over the northern half of the state today and tomorrow with a good supply of sunshine both days.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Boy, the GFS sure does look dry despite a surface front creeping down our way from Kentucky and Tennessee. It did the same thing last weekend, and both days offered some very healthy showers and storms. I still think we need to mention scattered afternoon showers and storms all three of these days as moist air will be creeping northward in advance of the front.
LONG RANGE: It still looks like the most intense heat will remain over the Southwest U.S. for the next few weeks; around here the models are suggesting near normal rainfall and temperatures, with the rain coming from the daily round of scattered afternoon showers and storms.
TROPICS: Our little system around 10 N and 43 W (in the middle of the Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles) is still hanging in there, but it is small and fighting dry air all around it. If the thing survives the models take through the Windward Islands, and in the direction of Hispaniola for the next five days. I doubt it if makes it that far, however…
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Thanks for stopping by today… we will get back to the regular “two a day” schedule tomorrow. Have a wonderful holiday!
