The Wednesday afternoon edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below, and on iTunes:
The leading edge of the big rain mass heading our way is over Southwest Louisiana, and the rain should invade Alabama from southwest to northeast during the day tomorrow. The rain will be widespread tomorrow night into Friday, and we are still projecting average rainfall amounts of one to two inches statewide. The heaviest totals, possibly exceeding two inches, will be over the southwest part of the state in the general area from Livingston and York south to Mobile.
Still no significant chance of severe weather for this part of Alabama; any severe storms should be confined to the Gulf coast.
The rain will diminish from west to east during the day Friday, and there is still a reasonable chance most of the day Saturday will be dry, but a sliver of moisture remains so a few isolated showers will be possible.
Then, another surge of rain and storms will move into the state on Sunday, which could bring another one inch to most North Alabama communities.
NEXT WEEK: The 12Z run of the GFS moves the rain out of the state on Sunday, and Monday looks like a cooler day with gradual clearing. Tuesday and Wednesday at this point look cool and dry.
LONG RANGE: Still no sign of any seeping of cold air into Alabama in the January 13-19 time frame. But, we do note the GFS NAO forecast is trending toward the neutral line in about 15 days, and we have to wonder if a pattern change might be ahead for the latter half of the month. All we can do, as always, is stay tuned.
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Great to be on the Rick and Bubba show today on their new Birmingham station, 104.7 WZZK. We will have a ton of fun in coming years… I am really glad they are now a part of the Cox Radio family. You can hear Bubba talking about the “big change” on this week’s WeatherBrains netcast.
Having to make this a bit short today… way behind the curve. I will have a longer post early tomorrow morning.