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Looks like a nice day for us in Central Alabama today with highs getting into the middle 80s. Moisture levels increase Sunday ahead of a strong cold front that should bring us a wet start to the work week. Sunday will remain warm with showers and rain most likely holding off until evening time.
A strong upper trough will move into the Central Plains on Monday phasing up with the short wave over Texas to produce a cloudy and wet day for Monday. Expect to see rainfall amounts of 1 inch with some heavier amounts – perhaps up to 2 to 3 inches – with any strong thunderstorms. At this time, it does not appear that we will see any severe weather. However, with some model differences and other uncertainties, we will need to watch the evolution of the weather for Monday. The NAM was the most aggressive with any severe weather potential, so it seems best to take a watch and see approach.
The weather is slow to leave our area Tuesday, but the weather should be improving. So look for some rain possibilities but mostly showers and light rain. The two troughs phase up with the arrival of additional chilly air. I expect to see Tuesday the kind of day with little temperature change. And with the arrival of cooler and drier air, I expect to see some spots dipping into the 40s for lows on Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
The rest of the week looks like some fine Fall weather for Central Alabama with lows in the 50s, low humidity, and highs in the 70s.
Another system approaches the area Friday and moves through on Saturday, but for the moment it seems that the moisture will be limited. This means some clouds and another shot of cool air.
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-Brian-
