The latest edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme Video is available in the player below. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme Video on iTunes by clicking here.
Not much change to the overall weather pattern for us in Central Alabama. This morning there is a weak front distinguished primarily by a slight decrease in dew points. This was moving steadily southward and should be the focus for isolated thunderstorms. But like yesterday, the storms will be few and far between. Highs once again climbing into the mid 90s. The afternoon humidity is expected to be just a tad lower as the weak front moves further south. But the lower humidity will only last through Sunday.
Aloft we will be dealing with a continuation of the trough along the eastern US and the ridge along the Rockies. This will place us in a northwesterly flow pattern. This type of pattern can be difficult to forecast since weak disturbances traveling down the eastern side of the ridge can easily produce large clusters of thunderstorms or MCCs (Mesoscale Convective Complexes). Computer modeling, whether the GFS or ECMWF, usually do not handle this situation well. The current 06Z GFS model shows a somewhat stronger disturbance moving through the flow at mid-week, so this might be one of those situations. However, we’ll need to keep a vigilant eye throughout the coming week for development of any of these clusters even with some of the weaker disturbances.
By the end of the week it looks like a strong trough moving along the US-Canadian border will dampen the ridge and the trough pattern that could result in a the ridge migrating eastward. This could signal a change to hotter weather for us once again with highs into week 2 closing in on 100 again. This is verging on the long range forecast, so we’ll cautiously watch and hope we don’t see that kind of heat again.
Tropics are quiet. SPC outlooking only a small area for a slight risk of severe storms just west of the Great Lakes. Rainfall for the next five days will continue to be spotty with the daily isolated showers and thunderstorms. Please be wary of any lightning; there were several lightning deaths in the US last week and we don’t need any more of those statistics.
As I noted, the long range GFS suggests that the ridge will be moving back eastward which could spell another round of hot and primarily dry weather with small daily chances for thunderstorms.
Don’t forget to listen to our weekly netcast anytime on the web or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…
| James Spann | Charles Daniel | Ashley Brand |
| J. B. Elliott | Bill Murray | Brian Peters |
| E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings) |
James Spann is taking the upcoming week off, so I will be posting a Weather Xtreme Video each morning typically by 8 am or so. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.
-Brian-
