Late this afternoon, Dean was moving off land to water again. He was moving off of the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche, which is the extreme SW part of the Gulf of Mexico. Let’s look at a few specifics:
LOCATION/MOVEMENT
At 4:00 p.m., the center of Dean was near latitude 19.4N, longitude 91.3W, which is about 60 miles WSW of Campeche, Mexico and about 410 miles ESE of Tuxcan, Mexico. His movement has been consistent–still continued toward the west at about 20 mph. A west to WNW motion is expected during the next 24 hours bringing him very close to the coast of Central Mexico during the day Wednesday.
WINDS/PRESSURE
Highest sustained winds were near 80 mph with higher gusts. He is a Category 1 hurricane, but he could grow a little stronger in the next 24 hours. The estimated central pressure was 970mb or 28.64 inches.
RAIN AMOUNTS/STORM SURGE FLOODING
A storm surge of 6-8 feet above normal tide levels is possible, along with large and dangerous battering waves along the coast of Mexico within the Hurricane Warning area. The Hurricane Warning remains in effect along the Gulf Coast of Mexico from south of Progresso westward to Tampico. Rain amounts of 5-10 inches should be common over part of South and Central Mexico and Guatemala. Some amounts could reach 20 inches causes life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Spin-off moisture could produce as much as 1-2 inches over part of South Texas.
Next Advisory at 7:00 p.m.
