An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player below. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.
As always, I encourage you to watch the Weather Xtreme video that goes along with this discussion to see all of the associated graphics. Makes it a little easier to comprehend…
ALABAMA SHORT TERM: We should see a general increase in the number of scattered showers and storms today and tomorrow as the shear axis to the west moves into the state, along with deeper moisture. We note our Skywatcher in Lamar County reported almost three inches of rain last night in that north/south band of storms that formed near the Mississippi border.
OUR FRIEND FAY: Yep, the 00Z and 06Z models have shifted south. The ECMWF is the most troubling model, suggesting Fay will be almost 100 miles south of Panama City in the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, with significant intensification, followed by a move to Mobile Bay on Monday as a hurricane. But, that is an outlier. Most of the models take Fay close to the Gulf Coast… over to Mobile and Gulfport, with a slow turn to the north.
The NHC track is slower, and I think that is the right idea since this thing has not moved in about 12 hours. Still seems like our best rain from Fay will come Sunday and Monday. And, it this thing just hangs around like some models suggest, we might be in a wet pattern on Tuesday as well.
It is difficult, if not impossible at this stage of the game to identify where the heaviest rain will fall in Alabama from Fay, and the flood threat that will go along with it. But, there is good potential for a big rain event statewide late this weekend into early next week. Perhaps the big drought buster we have been praying for.
Emergency managers along the coast will need to be ready just in case the ECMWF happens to be on the money.
94L: Our other tropical wave in the Central Atlantic doesn’t look too organized this morning, but conditions should improve for strengthening in a few days, and the ECMWF ramps this up to a tropical storm by the middle of next week. Lets deal with this one later; best to take these things one at a time, you know.
TWITTER: Don’t forget, you can follow our news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. And, my personal Twitter feed is here if you want to keep up with my adventures in life. Twitter is a short messaging service you can receive via the web, cell phone, or IM.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.
I will have the next Weather Xtreme video posted here by 3:30 this afternoon… J.B. and the gang will keep the blog updated with fresh information all day. Be sure and have our feed in your RSS reader, or check in often. We have a very interesting series of days ahead!
