The Storm Prediction has discontinued the moderate risk of severe weather that was in effect for parts of North and West Mississippi, West Tennessee and East Arkansas. It is now a slight risk.
At 9:15 tonight, the lead line of thunderstorms had weakened and lifted northward. Now, the main line of thunderstorms, with plenty of lightning extended from East Arkansas northward to just west of Memphis, across the Missouri Bootheel to near Paducah, Kentucky.
Some of the strongest thunderstorms were west and NW of Memphis. NWS/Memphis issued a Flash Flood Warning for St. Francis County in East Arkansas.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 1 am for for Extreme NW Mississippi, and West Tennessee. This replaces a Tornado Watch for part of that area.
The new 00Z NAM model is partially complete. It paints a picture of the main line of thunderstorms still over NW Alabama at noon Friday which would mean that the strongest storms may not reach Central Alabama until afternoon.
Lets not jump to conclusions based on one model. There are always last minute surprises during severe weather.
Overall, the threat of severe weather in Alabama Friday has lessened somewhat but too early to relax completely. The GFS model will be in later.
At one time it appeared that tomorrow would be like last Friday when we were overdosed with numerous strong to severe thunderstorms and some counties came under a warning time and time again.
Does not look like that now.
There is a slight risk of severe weather Friday all the way from the coastal sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and NW Florida northward all the way to the Eastern Great Kales area.
This includes all of Alabama.
