Published on: July 16, 2007 at 6:07 AM

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The blanket of moist air over Alabama won’t be moving anytime soon, and with a general weakness in the upper air flow just west of here, we will continue to mention scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for the week ahead, which is still very welcome news for a state that has suffered through quite a drought in recent months. Birmingham’s current rain deficit for the year is at 17.42″.

We don’t have the skill to tell you exactly when and where it will rain, but it could rain at any time during the next three days with this kind of pattern in place. No doubt the stronger storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours, but morning showers are possible as well. In fact, some light rain is falling around the Birmingham metro area as I write this at 5:30 this morning.

NO HEAT PROBLEMS: Another positive aspect about this pattern is that temperatures will remain cooler than normal. Saturday’s high was 79, and yesterday’s high was 85 in Birmingham. Not bad at all for mid-July, and we expect highs to remain generally in the mid to upper 80s for at least the first half of the week.

WEEKEND PEEK: Check out the video and see that the GFS is showing a 6000 meter 500 mb upper high over Montana and Wyoming on Sunday. That should represent some pretty nasty heat out west, but around here our muggy air goes nowhere, so we will continue to mention scattered to numerous showers and storms both Saturday and Sunday with only limited amounts of sunshine.

TROPICS: Looks like the African wave train is trying to become a little more active, and we also have a tropical wave in the central part of the Caribbean this morning. Nothing organized, but you sure get the idea the hurricane season might come alive in the next few weeks.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather hosted by David Black and featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will be recording an all-new episode tonight, and it will posted by early tomorrow morning.

WEATHER PARTY: Get all the latest weather news over on our sister site, WeatherParty.com. Be sure and register while you are there; you can submit stories and vote on them to determine what is published on the front page. Plenty of articles to read over there…

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!